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SD Raiders vs Sydney FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Australia Australia

Australia Cup Ernie Smith Reserve, Sydney
Our Tip

Match Events

33' Event
Sekine T.
Assist: Lacey J.
51'
Malfara S.
69'
Sub
Lacey J. In: Kamijo W.
Out: Lacey J.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-1. The second leg ended 0-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
SD Raiders
15%
Draws
51%
Sydney FC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sydney FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • SD Raiders carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 51% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • SD Raiders have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Sydney FC, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 35.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
SD Raiders Clean Sheet 14%
Sydney FC Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SD Raiders Sydney FC
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 13
Draws 4 7
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 1.47 1.3
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.27 1.60
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 18, 2026 Australia Cup
SD Raiders vs Sydney FC
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

SD Raiders Compare

Avg xG / game 0.98
Avg xA / game 0.64

Sydney FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Sekine T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.89

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SD Raiders 35 / 100
Sydney FC 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SD Raiders Sydney FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sydney FC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: SD Raiders scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Sydney FC let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

SD Raiders has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

SD Raiders VS Sydney FC
1.38 Goals Scored 1.83
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.17
63% Over 1.5 67%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 33%

Recent Form & Match History

SD Raiders

(Home)
30 Aug
Sutherland Sharks
1 : 2
SD Raiders
22 Aug
NWS Spirit
1 : 0
SD Raiders
18 Aug
SD Raiders
0 : 1
Sydney FC
15 Aug
APIA Leichhardt
3 : 1
SD Raiders
11 Aug
SD Raiders
2 : 1
Macarthur FC
Page 1 of 6

Sydney FC

(Away)
09 Sept
Sydney FC
0 : 2
Melbourne Victory
18 Aug
SD Raiders
0 : 1
Sydney FC
09 Aug
Brisbane Roar
2 : 4
Sydney FC
29 Jul
Tottenham
2 : 1
Sydney FC
21 Jul
Bayswater
1 : 5
Sydney FC
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Sydney Olympic 0
Brisbane Roar 3
Bayswater 1
Sydney FC 5
Rochedale 1
SD Raiders 2
Azzurri United 0
Macarthur FC 3
APIA Leichhardt 2
Peninsula 1
Sydney Utd 2
Central Coast 1
Tigers FC 0
Western Sydney Wanderers 2
Kingborough Lions 0
Melbourne Victory 4
Marlin Coast 0
Brunswick Juventus 4
Preston Lions 3
Newcastle Jets 2
South Melbourne 2
Adelaide Utd 1
Maitland 1
Fremantle City 2
Weston Workers Bears 0
Melbourne City 3
Queensland Lions 2
Perth Glory 1
FK Beograd 2
North Sunshine Eagles 3
Cumberland United 0
Heidelberg Utd 3
1/8-finals
Brisbane Roar 2
Sydney FC 4
SD Raiders 2
Macarthur FC 1
APIA Leichhardt 2
Sydney Utd 1
Western Sydney Wanderers 1
Melbourne Victory 2
Brunswick Juventus 1
Preston Lions 4
South Melbourne 4
Fremantle City 3
Melbourne City 0
Queensland Lions 2
North Sunshine Eagles 1
Heidelberg Utd 0
Quarter-finals
Sydney FC 1
SD Raiders 0
APIA Leichhardt 0
Melbourne Victory 1
Preston Lions 1
South Melbourne 2
Queensland Lions 4
North Sunshine Eagles 0
Semi-finals
Sydney FC 0
Melbourne Victory 2
South Melbourne 3
Queensland Lions 1
Final
Melbourne Victory 1
South Melbourne 2