Sport Picks

Stadium Background

SD Raiders vs UNSW

Australia Australia

NPL NSW Ernie Smith Reserve, Sydney
Our Tip

Match Events

37' Event
Knezevic L.
57' Event
Beaven E.

AI Match Summary

The NPL NSW game between SD Raiders and UNSW finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward SD Raiders.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
SD Raiders
15%
Draws
12%
UNSW
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: SD Raiders

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and SD Raiders come out ahead of UNSW on wins alone.
  • 73% — that's where the model lands on SD Raiders taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
SD Raiders Clean Sheet 20%
UNSW Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SD Raiders UNSW
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 14 9
Draws 5 5
Losses 12 16
Goals Scored 1.45 1.27
Goals Conceded 1.42 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 6, 2026 NPL NSW
SD Raiders vs UNSW
2:0
Feb 21, 2026 NPL NSW
UNSW vs SD Raiders
1:1
Jun 28, 2025 NSW League One
UNSW vs SD Raiders
1:0
May 6, 2025 NSW League One
SD Raiders vs UNSW
1:3
Jul 6, 2024 NSW League One
UNSW vs SD Raiders
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

SD Raiders Compare

Top Goalscorer Knezevic L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Beaven E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

UNSW Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SD Raiders 85 / 100
UNSW 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SD Raiders UNSW

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SD Raiders Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: SD Raiders scored in 77% of their last 31 outings.

UNSW has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

UNSW's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

SD Raiders VS UNSW
2 Goals Scored 1
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

SD Raiders

(Home)
30 Aug
Sutherland Sharks
1 : 2
SD Raiders
22 Aug
NWS Spirit
1 : 0
SD Raiders
18 Aug
SD Raiders
0 : 1
Sydney FC
15 Aug
APIA Leichhardt
3 : 1
SD Raiders
11 Aug
SD Raiders
2 : 1
Macarthur FC
Page 1 of 7

UNSW

(Away)
30 Aug
Rockdale Ilinden
2 : 0
UNSW
22 Aug
UNSW
0 : 2
Manly Utd
16 Aug
Blacktown City
0 : 0
UNSW
08 Aug
UNSW
1 : 3
Sydney Olympic
01 Aug
Western Sydney Wanderers U21
2 : 1
UNSW
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 APIA Leichhardt 30 21 5 4 66:35 68
2 Sydney Utd 30 20 4 6 47:20 64
3 Marconi Stallions 30 19 5 6 50:22 62
4 Sutherland Sharks 30 14 4 12 46:38 46
5 Manly Utd 30 12 8 10 39:35 44
6 NWS Spirit 30 12 5 13 37:38 41
7 SD Raiders 30 12 5 13 44:49 41
8 Sydney FC U23 30 11 8 11 38:43 41
9 Rockdale Ilinden 30 12 4 14 46:44 40
10 Western Sydney Wanderers U21 30 11 5 14 55:49 38
11 Wollongong 30 11 5 14 35:43 38
12 St. George City 30 10 7 13 30:46 37
13 Blacktown City 30 9 8 13 43:46 35
14 UNSW 30 9 5 16 38:49 32
15 St George Saints 30 8 3 19 28:55 27
16 Sydney Olympic 30 6 5 19 32:62 23
Promotion - NPL NSW (Play Offs)
Promotion - NPL NSW (Play Offs)
Relegation - NPL NSW (Relegation)
Relegation - NSW League One 2027 (Main)