Sport Picks

Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 3

SD Revilla

2 - 1

Castro

Our Tip

Match Events

44'

Gallego P.

55'

Cagigas J. D.

70'

Hernando A.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

SD Revilla in this Tercera RFEF - Group 3 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored SD Revilla.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%

SD Revilla

22%

Draws

18%

Castro

Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: SD Revilla

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence

Castro have won more games recently than SD Revilla.
Win probability leans SD Revilla's way, sitting at 60%.
Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 3 form gives a decent read on both sides.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 69%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%

SD Revilla Clean Sheet 68%

Castro Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	SD Revilla	Castro
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	8	9
Draws	6	6
Losses	16	15
Goals Scored	0.75	1.13
Goals Conceded	1.75	1.25
Expected Goals (xG)	0.75	1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.75	1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 3

SD Revilla vs Castro

Possession: 60% - 46% Cards: 0 - 4

2:1

Dec 14, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 3

Castro vs SD Revilla

Possession: 42% - 51% Cards: 2 - 2

1:1

Mar 16, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 3

Castro vs SD Revilla

Possession: 41% - 41% Cards: 1 - 4

3:1

Nov 1, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 3

SD Revilla vs Castro

Possession: 51% - 59% Cards: 4 - 4

0:1

Apr 27, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 3

SD Revilla vs Castro

Possession: 53% - 47% Cards: 4 - 4

1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

SD Revilla Compare

Top Goalscorer Gallego P.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Cagigas J. D.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.58

Avg xA / game 0.38

Castro Compare

Top Goalscorer Hernando A.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.03

Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SD Revilla 68 / 100

Castro 19 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

SD Revilla Castro

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick REV Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SD Revilla's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Castro's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Solid form: SD Revilla remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

SD Revilla VS Castro

0.75 Goals Scored 1.13

1.75 Goals Conceded 1.25

75% Over 1.5 63%

50% Over 2.5 63%

25% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Gimnastic de Torrelavega	34	26	5	3	86:15	83
2	CD Laredo	34	21	8	5	63:28	71
3	CD Tropezon	34	21	4	9	50:27	67
4	Guarnizo	34	19	9	6	47:26	66
5	UM Escobedo	34	21	2	11	65:43	65
6	Vimenor	34	17	8	9	47:36	59
7	Atletico Albericia	34	17	5	12	61:45	56
8	Cayon CD	34	17	5	12	50:41	56
9	Torina	34	15	8	11	39:40	53
10	Bezana	34	13	8	13	43:38	47
11	Castro	34	10	8	16	44:47	38
12	Selaya	34	8	8	18	32:44	32
13	SD Revilla	34	8	7	19	35:63	31
14	CD Barquereno	34	8	6	20	37:64	30
15	UC Cartes	34	6	10	18	28:52	28
16	CD Colindres	34	6	10	18	27:47	28
17	CD Montanas del Pas	34	6	8	20	35:87	26
18	SD Noja	34	4	7	23	22:68	19