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SD Sparta vs Araguaina

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Campeonato Tocantinense 2018
SD Sparta Logo

SD Sparta

2 - 0
FT
Araguaina Logo

Araguaina

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Tocantinense 2018 game between SD Sparta and Araguaina finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward SD Sparta.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
SD Sparta
35%
Draws
30%
Araguaina
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • SD Sparta have managed 1.2 goals a game lately — Araguaina are scoring more at 1.65.
  • Model gives Araguaina a 30% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Campeonato Tocantinense 2018 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and SD Sparta have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
SD Sparta Clean Sheet 20%
Araguaina Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SD Sparta Araguaina
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 11 11
Draws 7 8
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 1.2 1.65
Goals Conceded 1.13 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 0.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 4, 2019 Tocantinense
Araguaina vs SD Sparta
1:2
Apr 17, 2019 Tocantinense
SD Sparta vs Araguaina
1:0
Jun 2, 2018 Tocantinense
SD Sparta vs Araguaina
2:0
Apr 18, 2018 Tocantinense
Araguaina vs SD Sparta
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SD Sparta 28 / 100
Araguaina 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SD Sparta Araguaina

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Araguaina Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: SD Sparta scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Araguaina has conceded goals in 74% of their last 31 outings.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

SD Sparta has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Araguaina
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

SD Sparta

(Home)
04 Dec
Bela Vista-TO
1 : 1
SD Sparta
30 Nov
SD Sparta
0 : 1
Bela Vista-TO
23 Nov
SD Sparta
1 : 1
Araguaia (TO)
16 Nov
Araguaia (TO)
0 : 1
SD Sparta
09 Nov
Araguacema
1 : 1
SD Sparta
Page 1 of 6

Araguaina

(Away)
28 Jun
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
0 : 0
Araguaina
21 Jun
Araguaina
0 : 1
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
14 Jun
Araguaina
9 : 0
Galvez
30 May
Guapore
3 : 2
Araguaina
24 May
Araguaina
1 : 1
Porto Velho
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Interporto 12 5 7 0 17:7 22
2 Tocantinopolis 12 6 3 3 19:14 21
3 Palmas 12 5 5 2 18:11 20
4 Gurupi 12 5 4 3 23:10 19
5 SD Sparta 12 4 3 5 18:17 15
6 Araguaina 12 3 6 3 13:13 15
7 Paraiso EC 12 0 0 12 0:36 0
Promotion - Campeonato Tocantinense 2018 (Play Offs)