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SD Sparta vs Capital FC

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Tocantinense 2020
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AI Match Summary

Capital FC in this Campeonato Tocantinense 2020 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Capital FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
SD Sparta
28%
Draws
22%
Capital FC
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: SD Sparta

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • SD Sparta have won more games recently than Capital FC.
  • Win probability leans SD Sparta's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Campeonato Tocantinense 2020 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 24%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
SD Sparta Clean Sheet 68%
Capital FC Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SD Sparta Capital FC
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 11 10
Draws 7 5
Losses 12 16
Goals Scored 1 1.25
Goals Conceded 1 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2020 Tocantinense
SD Sparta vs Capital FC
1:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SD Sparta 59 / 100
Capital FC 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SD Sparta Capital FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SDS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SD Sparta found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Capital FC conceded in 81% of 31 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

SD Sparta went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

SD Sparta VS Capital FC
1 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 0.63
100% Over 1.5 38%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Palmas761018:319
2Interporto751120:516
3Tocantinopolis741211:913
4Araguacema732212:811
5Capital FC72056:136
6Nova Conquista71334:116
7SD Sparta71154:94
8Cerrado71154:214