Sport Picks

Stadium Background

SD Sparta vs Cerrado

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Tocantinense 2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Tocantinense 2019 game between SD Sparta and Cerrado finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
SD Sparta
6%
Draws
4%
Cerrado
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: SD Sparta

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • SD Sparta carry the better recent record into this one.
  • SD Sparta are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Cerrado have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 36.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
SD Sparta Clean Sheet 20%
Cerrado Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SD Sparta Cerrado
Matches Played 30 17
Wins 11 4
Draws 7 4
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 1.25 0.8
Goals Conceded 1.13 3.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.80
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 3.20

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 15, 2020 Tocantinense
Cerrado vs SD Sparta
1:0
May 12, 2019 Tocantinense
Cerrado vs SD Sparta
3:1
Apr 23, 2019 Tocantinense
SD Sparta vs Cerrado
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SD Sparta 85 / 100
Cerrado 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SD Sparta Cerrado

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SDS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SD Sparta found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).

Cerrado's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 17 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.33 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: SD Sparta stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

SD Sparta VS Cerrado
1.25 Goals Scored 0.8
1.13 Goals Conceded 3.2
63% Over 1.5 80%
38% Over 2.5 80%
13% Over 3.5 60%

Recent Form & Match History

SD Sparta

(Home)
04 Dec
Bela Vista-TO
1 : 1
SD Sparta
30 Nov
SD Sparta
0 : 1
Bela Vista-TO
23 Nov
SD Sparta
1 : 1
Araguaia (TO)
16 Nov
Araguaia (TO)
0 : 1
SD Sparta
09 Nov
Araguacema
1 : 1
SD Sparta
Page 1 of 6

Cerrado

(Away)
08 Mar
Interporto
5 : 1
Cerrado
29 Feb
Cerrado
0 : 3
Tocantinopolis
22 Feb
Palmas
4 : 1
Cerrado
18 Feb
Capital FC
4 : 1
Cerrado
15 Feb
Cerrado
1 : 0
SD Sparta
Page 1 of 4

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Palmas640210:712
2Forca Jovem Aquidaba62229:88
3Interporto62138:87
4Alvorada62137:117
Promotion - Campeonato Tocantinense 2019 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Tocantinopolis842216:1014
2SD Sparta842211:914
3Cerrado83329:812
4Araguaina81436:97
5Arsenal (TO)813414:206
Promotion - Campeonato Tocantinense 2019 (Play Offs)