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SD Sparta vs Interporto

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Tocantinense 2018
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

SD Sparta play Interporto in the Campeonato Tocantinense 2018. It looks like a close match. Recently, SD Sparta averaged 1.36 goals scored and 1.03 conceded. Interporto averaged 1.31 goals scored and 1.71 conceded. In past meetings, SD Sparta won 1, Interporto won 4, and they drew 0. Their last match on Mar 1, 2020 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.00 for SD Sparta and 1.60 for Interporto. This points to a SD Sparta double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
SD Sparta
18%
Draws
38%
Interporto
Draw rate projection: 18% Favored: SD Sparta

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • SD Sparta picked up more points recently compared to Interporto.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.00 vs 1.60 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 49%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 43%
SD Sparta Clean Sheet 14%
Interporto Clean Sheet 15%
First Half Goal 68%
Second Half Goal 71%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SD Sparta Interporto
Matches Played 33 42
Wins 14 13
Draws 7 13
Losses 12 16
Goals Scored 1.36 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.71
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.71 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2020 Tocantinense
SD Sparta vs Interporto
1:0
Jun 5, 2018 Tocantinense
Interporto vs SD Sparta
3:1
Apr 25, 2018 Tocantinense
SD Sparta vs Interporto
1:2
May 13, 2017 Tocantinense
SD Sparta vs Interporto
0:2
May 6, 2017 Tocantinense
Interporto vs SD Sparta
2:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SD Sparta 42 / 100
Interporto 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SD Sparta Interporto

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: SD Sparta or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +22.3%
2.78
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +14.2%
2.33
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

SD Sparta attacking → ← attacking Interporto

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SD Sparta scored in 82% of their last 33 games.

Interporto let in goals in 67% of their last 42 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

SD Sparta went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Interporto lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

49 Points in last 5 52
1.00 Goals expected (xG) 2.50
0.71 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Interporto1257017:722
2Tocantinopolis1263319:1421
3Palmas1255218:1120
4Gurupi1254323:1019
5SD Sparta1243518:1715
6Araguaina1236313:1315
7Paraiso EC1200120:360