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Sea Hawks vs Negombo Youth

Sri Lanka Sri Lanka

Champions League 2018/2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sea Hawks in this Champions League 2018/2019 matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sea Hawks.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Sea Hawks
6%
Draws
4%
Negombo Youth
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Sea Hawks

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Sea Hawks lately — more wins on the board than Negombo Youth.
  • Win probability leans Sea Hawks's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Sea Hawks have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 94%
Over 1.5 Goals 84%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 42.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Sea Hawks Clean Sheet 20%
Negombo Youth Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sea Hawks Negombo Youth
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 16 6
Draws 4 5
Losses 9 18
Goals Scored 1.88 1
Goals Conceded 1.13 3.6
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 3.60

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 10, 2018 Super League
Sea Hawks vs Negombo Youth
4:1
Oct 15, 2017 Super League
Negombo Youth vs Sea Hawks
2:0
Jul 26, 2015 Super League
Sea Hawks vs Negombo Youth
1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sea Hawks 85 / 100
Negombo Youth 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sea Hawks Negombo Youth

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SEA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Negombo Youth's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.

Sea Hawks's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.67 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Sea Hawks remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Sea Hawks VS Negombo Youth
1.88 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 3.6
88% Over 1.5 80%
75% Over 2.5 80%
25% Over 3.5 60%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Defenders FC16104235:2534
2Colombo1695240:2032
3Blue Star16102423:1632
4Sea Hawks1693430:1930
5Renown1683529:2027
6Ratnam SC1683523:1927
7UP Country Lions1680830:2224
8Red Star1665531:2123
9Matara City1665525:2423
10Blue Eagles1665518:2023
11Solid1653836:3418
12New Young's SC1652922:2517
13Java Lane1645724:3217
14Pelicans SC1645719:3017
15Saunders16421022:3514
16Crystal Palace1634914:3113
17Negombo Youth16141118:467
18Super Sun00000:00