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Sea Hawks vs Renown - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Sri Lanka Sri Lanka

Super League
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Ezekiel P.
16' Event
Ezekiel P.
52' Event
Mohamed Iqbal M. M.

AI Match Summary

The Super League game between Sea Hawks and Renown finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Sea Hawks
35%
Draws
20%
Renown
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Sea Hawks

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Sea Hawks carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Sea Hawks a 45% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Sea Hawks Clean Sheet 11%
Renown Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sea Hawks Renown
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 17 16
Draws 5 6
Losses 6 7
Goals Scored 1.86 1.93
Goals Conceded 0.96 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 25, 2026 Super League
Sea Hawks vs Renown
2:2
Apr 24, 2021 Super League
Renown vs Sea Hawks
0:2
Jan 30, 2019 Super League
Sea Hawks vs Renown
3:0
Oct 10, 2017 Super League
Renown vs Sea Hawks
3:1
Feb 18, 2017 Super League
Sea Hawks vs Renown
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sea Hawks Compare

Top Goalscorer Ezekiel P.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Renown Compare

Top Goalscorer Mohamed Iqbal M. M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pieris D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sea Hawks 83 / 100
Renown 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sea Hawks Renown

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sea Hawks Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sea Hawks's goal record stands at 82% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Sea Hawks has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Renown's defensive record shows goals conceded in 61% of 28 matches.

Scoring Trends

Sea Hawks VS Renown
1.88 Goals Scored 3.13
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Sea Hawks

(Home)
15 Sept
Blue Eagles
0 : 2
Sea Hawks
07 Sept
New Young's SC
0 : 2
Sea Hawks
31 Aug
Sea Hawks
1 : 1
Colombo
25 Aug
Sea Hawks
2 : 2
Renown
17 Aug
Defenders FC
0 : 2
Sea Hawks
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Renown

(Away)
13 Sept
Renown
0 : 2
UP Country Lions
04 Sept
Blue Eagles
2 : 0
Renown
29 Aug
Blue Star
2 : 3
Renown
25 Aug
Sea Hawks
2 : 2
Renown
15 Aug
Renown
0 : 0
Red Star
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 UP Country Lions 9 9 0 0 35:3 27
2 Sea Hawks 9 5 3 1 17:4 18
3 Colombo 9 4 4 1 14:5 16
4 Renown 9 4 3 2 21:8 15
5 Red Star 9 4 3 2 16:11 15
6 Blue Star 9 4 1 4 16:19 13
7 Blue Eagles 9 3 1 5 8:12 10
8 Defenders FC 9 2 1 6 11:17 7
9 New Young's SC 9 1 2 6 7:36 5
10 Ratnam SC 9 0 0 9 5:35 0
Promotion - Super League (Championship Group)
Relegation - Super League (Relegation Group)