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Sea Hawks vs UP Country Lions

Sri Lanka Sri Lanka

Super League 2021
Mon, Dec 6, 2021
0 - 3
02:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

90' Event
Mushthaq M.

AI Match Summary

Sea Hawks host UP Country Lions in the Super League 2021. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Recent numbers: Sea Hawks at 1.9 goals for, 1 against; UP Country Lions at 2.43 for, 0.9 against. Past meetings favor Sea Hawks slightly — 2-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 4, 2026, ending 0:1. The numbers (1.25 xG vs 2.25) point toward Sea Hawks. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Sea Hawks
20%
Draws
46%
UP Country Lions
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: UP Country Lions

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • UP Country Lions have won more games recently than Sea Hawks.
  • UP Country Lions are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Sea Hawks Clean Sheet 10%
UP Country Lions Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sea Hawks UP Country Lions
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 18 20
Draws 5 1
Losses 6 9
Goals Scored 1.9 2.43
Goals Conceded 1 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 4, 2026 Super League
Sea Hawks vs UP Country Lions
0:1
Dec 6, 2021 Super League
Sea Hawks vs UP Country Lions
0:3
Jan 27, 2019 Super League
Sea Hawks vs UP Country Lions
2:1
Oct 1, 2017 Super League
UP Country Lions vs Sea Hawks
3:6

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sea Hawks Compare

Top Goalscorer Mushthaq M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

UP Country Lions Compare

Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sea Hawks 10 / 100
UP Country Lions 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sea Hawks UP Country Lions

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UP Country Lions Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sea Hawks's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Sea Hawks went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

UP Country Lions let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Sea Hawks VS UP Country Lions
2 Goals Scored 3.75
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.5
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Sea Hawks

(Home)
15 Sept
Blue Eagles
0 : 2
Sea Hawks
07 Sept
New Young's SC
0 : 2
Sea Hawks
31 Aug
Sea Hawks
1 : 1
Colombo
25 Aug
Sea Hawks
2 : 2
Renown
17 Aug
Defenders FC
0 : 2
Sea Hawks
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UP Country Lions

(Away)
13 Sept
Renown
0 : 2
UP Country Lions
08 Sept
Colombo
0 : 2
UP Country Lions
28 Aug
UP Country Lions
4 : 0
Blue Eagles
22 Aug
UP Country Lions
6 : 0
New Young's SC
16 Aug
Ratnam SC
1 : 5
UP Country Lions
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