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Sea Hawks vs UP Country Lions

Sri Lanka Sri Lanka

Super League 2021
Mon, Dec 6, 2021
0 - 3
02:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

90' Event
Mushthaq M.

AI Match Summary

Sea Hawks host UP Country Lions in the Super League 2021. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Recent numbers: Sea Hawks at 1.5 goals for, 1.63 against; UP Country Lions at 1.75 for, 1 against. Past meetings favor Sea Hawks slightly — 2-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Dec 6, 2021, ending 0:3. The numbers (1.25 xG vs 1.69) point toward Sea Hawks. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Sea Hawks
11%
Draws
80%
UP Country Lions
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: UP Country Lions

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • UP Country Lions have won more games recently than Sea Hawks.
  • UP Country Lions are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Sea Hawks have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Sea Hawks Clean Sheet 13%
UP Country Lions Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sea Hawks UP Country Lions
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 16 17
Draws 4 1
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 1.5 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.63 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 6, 2021 Super League
Sea Hawks vs UP Country Lions
0:3
Jan 27, 2019 Super League
Sea Hawks vs UP Country Lions
2:1
Oct 1, 2017 Super League
UP Country Lions vs Sea Hawks
3:6

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sea Hawks Compare

Top Goalscorer Mushthaq M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

UP Country Lions Compare

Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sea Hawks 11 / 100
UP Country Lions 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sea Hawks UP Country Lions

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UP Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Sea Hawks scored in 79% of their last 28 games.

UP Country Lions let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

Recent resilience: Sea Hawks stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sea Hawks VS UP Country Lions
1.5 Goals Scored 1.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%