Sport Picks
Seattle Reign W vs Chicago Stars W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
USA
NWSL Women Lumen Field, Seattle, WA 
Match Events
46'
46'
Sub
Gasper A. In: Franklin B.
Out: Gasper A.
46'
46'
Sub
Swanson M. In: Gomes N.
Out: Swanson M.
53'
53'
Mercado M.
AI Match Summary
Seattle Reign W in this NWSL Women matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Seattle Reign W.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
73%
15%
12%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Seattle Reign W
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
73%
/ High Confidence
- Seattle Reign W have won more games recently than Chicago Stars W.
- Win probability leans Seattle Reign W's way, sitting at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Seattle Reign W Clean Sheet 20%
Chicago Stars W Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Seattle Reign W | Chicago Stars W |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 13 | 5 |
| Draws | 4 | 2 |
| Losses | 12 | 21 |
| Goals Scored | 1.17 | 0.57 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.17 | 2.36 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.31 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 15, 2026 NWSL Women
Seattle Reign W vs Chicago Stars W
1:0
Aug 19, 2025 NWSL Women
Seattle Reign W vs Chicago Stars W
3:3
Jun 14, 2025 NWSL Women
Chicago Stars W vs Seattle Reign W
2:2
Apr 21, 2024 NWSL Women
Seattle Reign W vs Chicago Stars W
1:2
Mar 23, 2024 NWSL Women
Chicago Stars W vs Seattle Reign W
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Seattle Reign W Compare
Top Goalscorer Mercado M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.78
Avg xA / game 1.16
Chicago Stars W Compare
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Seattle Reign W 85 / 100
Chicago Stars W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Seattle Reign W Chicago Stars W
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Seattle Reign W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Chicago Stars W let in goals in 89% of their last 28 matches.
These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.
Attacking prowess: Seattle Reign W scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.
Away concern: Chicago Stars W has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Seattle Reign W VS Chicago Stars W
1.25 Goals Scored 0.75
1 Goals Conceded 3.38
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Seattle Reign W
(Home) 03 Oct
Seattle Reign W
0 : 1 North Carolina Courage W
26 Sept
Seattle Reign W
2 : 0 Boston Legacy W
20 Sept
Denver Summit W
2 : 1 Seattle Reign W
17 Sept
Angel City W
3 : 1 Seattle Reign W
13 Sept
Seattle Reign W
2 : 0 Bay FC W
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03 Oct
Seattle Reign W
0 : 1 North Carolina Courage W
26 Sept
Seattle Reign W
2 : 0 Boston Legacy W
13 Sept
Seattle Reign W
2 : 0 Bay FC W
07 Sept
Seattle Reign W
1 : 0 San Diego Wave W
30 Aug
Seattle Reign W
1 : 0 Houston Dash W
Page 1 of 3
Chicago Stars W
(Away) 04 Oct
Chicago Stars W
0 : 3 Denver Summit W
26 Sept
Gotham FC W
3 : 1 Chicago Stars W
20 Sept
Chicago Stars W
0 : 3 Washington Spirit W
13 Sept
Portland Thorns FC W
1 : 1 Chicago Stars W
06 Sept
Chicago Stars W
0 : 6 North Carolina Courage W
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Gotham FC W
3 : 1 Chicago Stars W
13 Sept
Portland Thorns FC W
1 : 1 Chicago Stars W
30 Aug
Denver Summit W
6 : 1 Chicago Stars W
20 Aug
Houston Dash W
5 : 0 Chicago Stars W
15 Aug
Seattle Reign W
1 : 0 Chicago Stars W
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gotham FC W | 27 | 16 | 7 | 4 | 35:21 | 55 |
| 2 | San Diego Wave W | 27 | 16 | 3 | 8 | 40:28 | 51 |
| 3 | Washington Spirit W | 27 | 15 | 4 | 8 | 39:26 | 49 |
| 4 | Utah Royals W | 27 | 14 | 4 | 9 | 44:35 | 46 |
| 5 | Kansas City Current W | 27 | 13 | 5 | 9 | 48:38 | 44 |
| 6 | Angel City W | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 45:29 | 43 |
| 7 | Portland Thorns FC W | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 45:39 | 43 |
| 8 | North Carolina Courage W | 27 | 13 | 3 | 11 | 50:39 | 42 |
| 9 | Seattle Reign W | 27 | 12 | 4 | 11 | 33:32 | 40 |
| 10 | Denver Summit W | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 45:37 | 38 |
| 11 | Orlando Pride W | 27 | 10 | 3 | 14 | 36:43 | 33 |
| 12 | Houston Dash W | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 34:39 | 30 |
| 13 | Boston Legacy W | 27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | 36:46 | 29 |
| 14 | Bay FC W | 27 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 28:42 | 26 |
| 15 | Racing Louisville W | 27 | 7 | 3 | 17 | 36:52 | 24 |
| 16 | Chicago Stars W | 27 | 5 | 2 | 20 | 15:63 | 17 |
Promotion - NWSL Women (Play Offs)
