Sport Picks
Seattle Reign W vs Racing Louisville W
USA
NWSL Women Lumen Field, Seattle, WA 
Match Events
10'
10'
Mercado M.
Assist: Meza S.
41'
41'
Mondesir N.
Assist: McCammon A.
63'
63'
Hodge M.
AI Match Summary
Seattle Reign W in this NWSL Women matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Seattle Reign W.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
70%
17%
13%
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Seattle Reign W
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
88%
/ Very High Confidence
- Racing Louisville W haven't matched Seattle Reign W's recent run of results.
- Win probability leans Seattle Reign W's way, sitting at 70%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- Seattle Reign W have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Seattle Reign W Clean Sheet 68%
Racing Louisville W Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Seattle Reign W | Racing Louisville W |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 26 |
| Wins | 10 | 7 |
| Draws | 8 | 5 |
| Losses | 11 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.25 | 0.75 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.5 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 0.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.50 | 1.75 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 28, 2026 NWSL Women
Seattle Reign W vs Racing Louisville W
2:1
Sep 17, 2025 NWSL Women
Seattle Reign W vs Racing Louisville W
1:0
May 17, 2025 NWSL Women
Racing Louisville W vs Seattle Reign W
0:1
Sep 1, 2024 NWSL Women
Racing Louisville W vs Seattle Reign W
2:3
Jun 23, 2024 NWSL Women
Seattle Reign W vs Racing Louisville W
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Seattle Reign W Compare
Top Goalscorer Mercado M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Mondesir N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
Racing Louisville W Compare
Top Goalscorer Blackburn M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Seattle Reign W 77 / 100
Racing Louisville W 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Seattle Reign W Racing Louisville W
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick SEA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Racing Louisville W conceded in 88% of 26 recent games.
Seattle Reign W found the back of the net in 62% of recent matches (29 games).
H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.
Racing Louisville W's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
Seattle Reign W VS Racing Louisville W
1.25 Goals Scored 0.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Seattle Reign W
(Home) 26 Jul
San Diego Wave W
0 : 2 Seattle Reign W
18 Jul
Gotham FC W
3 : 2 Seattle Reign W
12 Jul
Seattle Reign W
2 : 0 Portland Thorns FC W
04 Jul
North Carolina Courage W
3 : 1 Seattle Reign W
30 May
Washington Spirit W
2 : 1 Seattle Reign W
Page 1 of 6
12 Jul
Seattle Reign W
2 : 0 Portland Thorns FC W
16 May
Seattle Reign W
0 : 2 Gotham FC W
10 May
Seattle Reign W
0 : 1 Washington Spirit W
27 Apr
Seattle Reign W
0 : 3 Utah Royals W
05 Apr
Seattle Reign W
0 : 0 Denver Summit W
Page 1 of 3
Racing Louisville W
(Away) 27 Jul
Angel City W
1 : 2 Racing Louisville W
19 Jul
Racing Louisville W
1 : 1 Houston Dash W
11 Jul
Racing Louisville W
0 : 2 Bay FC W
05 Jul
Portland Thorns FC W
4 : 0 Racing Louisville W
30 May
Racing Louisville W
0 : 1 Denver Summit W
Page 1 of 6
27 Jul
Angel City W
1 : 2 Racing Louisville W
05 Jul
Portland Thorns FC W
4 : 0 Racing Louisville W
18 May
Utah Royals W
2 : 1 Racing Louisville W
03 May
Gotham FC W
1 : 0 Racing Louisville W
29 Apr
Washington Spirit W
1 : 0 Racing Louisville W
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Washington Spirit W | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 25:12 | 33 |
| 2 | Gotham FC W | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 21:12 | 31 |
| 3 | Utah Royals W | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 26:17 | 30 |
| 4 | San Diego Wave W | 17 | 9 | 2 | 6 | 23:19 | 29 |
| 5 | Portland Thorns FC W | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 27:20 | 28 |
| 6 | Kansas City Current W | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 23:23 | 25 |
| 7 | Orlando Pride W | 17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 22:21 | 23 |
| 8 | Angel City W | 15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 23:16 | 22 |
| 9 | North Carolina Courage W | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 21:23 | 21 |
| 10 | Seattle Reign W | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 17:19 | 20 |
| 11 | Denver Summit W | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 21:20 | 19 |
| 12 | Houston Dash W | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 19:24 | 19 |
| 13 | Boston Legacy W | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 18:23 | 19 |
| 14 | Bay FC W | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 16:20 | 18 |
| 15 | Chicago Stars W | 16 | 4 | 0 | 12 | 8:31 | 12 |
| 16 | Racing Louisville W | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 18:28 | 11 |
Promotion - NWSL Women (Play Offs)
