Sport Picks
Seattle Reign W vs Racing Louisville W Prediction & H2H Stats
USA
NWSL Women Lumen Field, Seattle, WA 
Match Events
10'
10'
Mercado M.
Assist: Meza S.
41'
41'
Mondesir N.
Assist: McCammon A.
63'
63'
Hodge M.
AI Match Summary
Seattle Reign W in this NWSL Women matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Seattle Reign W.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
73%
15%
12%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Seattle Reign W
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
73%
/ High Confidence
- Racing Louisville W haven't matched Seattle Reign W's recent run of results.
- Win probability leans Seattle Reign W's way, sitting at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- Seattle Reign W have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Seattle Reign W Clean Sheet 68%
Racing Louisville W Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Seattle Reign W | Racing Louisville W |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 28 |
| Wins | 13 | 7 |
| Draws | 5 | 3 |
| Losses | 12 | 18 |
| Goals Scored | 1.17 | 1.32 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.17 | 1.93 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.56 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 19, 2026 NWSL Women
Racing Louisville W vs Seattle Reign W
2:1
Mar 28, 2026 NWSL Women
Seattle Reign W vs Racing Louisville W
2:1
Sep 17, 2025 NWSL Women
Seattle Reign W vs Racing Louisville W
1:0
May 17, 2025 NWSL Women
Racing Louisville W vs Seattle Reign W
0:1
Sep 1, 2024 NWSL Women
Racing Louisville W vs Seattle Reign W
2:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Seattle Reign W Compare
Top Goalscorer Mercado M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Mondesir N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78
Racing Louisville W Compare
Top Goalscorer Blackburn M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Seattle Reign W 95 / 100
Racing Louisville W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Seattle Reign W Racing Louisville W
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Seattle Reign W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Racing Louisville W conceded in 100% of 28 recent games.
Seattle Reign W found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).
H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.
Racing Louisville W's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
Seattle Reign W VS Racing Louisville W
1.25 Goals Scored 1.75
1 Goals Conceded 1.88
63% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Seattle Reign W
(Home) 03 Oct
Seattle Reign W
0 : 1 North Carolina Courage W
26 Sept
Seattle Reign W
2 : 0 Boston Legacy W
20 Sept
Denver Summit W
2 : 1 Seattle Reign W
17 Sept
Angel City W
3 : 1 Seattle Reign W
13 Sept
Seattle Reign W
2 : 0 Bay FC W
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Seattle Reign W
0 : 1 North Carolina Courage W
26 Sept
Seattle Reign W
2 : 0 Boston Legacy W
13 Sept
Seattle Reign W
2 : 0 Bay FC W
07 Sept
Seattle Reign W
1 : 0 San Diego Wave W
30 Aug
Seattle Reign W
1 : 0 Houston Dash W
Page 1 of 3
Racing Louisville W
(Away) 03 Oct
Racing Louisville W
1 : 1 Utah Royals W
25 Sept
Racing Louisville W
0 : 2 San Diego Wave W
20 Sept
Bay FC W
2 : 0 Racing Louisville W
11 Sept
Racing Louisville W
1 : 2 Gotham FC W
05 Sept
Racing Louisville W
0 : 2 Angel City W
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Bay FC W
2 : 0 Racing Louisville W
29 Aug
San Diego Wave W
3 : 2 Racing Louisville W
23 Aug
Chicago Stars W
3 : 2 Racing Louisville W
07 Aug
Orlando Pride W
1 : 3 Racing Louisville W
30 Jul
Kansas City Current W
5 : 1 Racing Louisville W
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gotham FC W | 27 | 16 | 7 | 4 | 35:21 | 55 |
| 2 | San Diego Wave W | 27 | 16 | 3 | 8 | 40:28 | 51 |
| 3 | Washington Spirit W | 27 | 15 | 4 | 8 | 39:26 | 49 |
| 4 | Utah Royals W | 27 | 14 | 4 | 9 | 44:35 | 46 |
| 5 | Kansas City Current W | 27 | 13 | 5 | 9 | 48:38 | 44 |
| 6 | Angel City W | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 45:29 | 43 |
| 7 | Portland Thorns FC W | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 45:39 | 43 |
| 8 | North Carolina Courage W | 27 | 13 | 3 | 11 | 50:39 | 42 |
| 9 | Seattle Reign W | 27 | 12 | 4 | 11 | 33:32 | 40 |
| 10 | Denver Summit W | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 45:37 | 38 |
| 11 | Orlando Pride W | 27 | 10 | 3 | 14 | 36:43 | 33 |
| 12 | Houston Dash W | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 34:39 | 30 |
| 13 | Boston Legacy W | 27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | 36:46 | 29 |
| 14 | Bay FC W | 27 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 28:42 | 26 |
| 15 | Racing Louisville W | 27 | 7 | 3 | 17 | 36:52 | 24 |
| 16 | Chicago Stars W | 27 | 5 | 2 | 20 | 15:63 | 17 |
Promotion - NWSL Women (Play Offs)
