Sport Picks
Seattle Reign W vs Washington Spirit W
USA
NWSL Women Lumen Field, Seattle, WA 
Match Events
36'
36'
Bernal R.
46'
46'
Sub
Kouassi R. In: Martinez Ovando C.
Out: Kouassi R.
46'
46'
Sub
Wiesner K. In: Metayer P.
Out: Wiesner K.
AI Match Summary
The NWSL Women game between Seattle Reign W and Washington Spirit W finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Washington Spirit W.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
31%
39%
30%
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
65%
/ Medium Confidence
- Seattle Reign W haven't matched Washington Spirit W's recent run of results.
- 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Regular NWSL Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- Washington Spirit W have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Seattle Reign W Clean Sheet 13%
Washington Spirit W Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Seattle Reign W | Washington Spirit W |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 31 |
| Wins | 10 | 17 |
| Draws | 8 | 7 |
| Losses | 11 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1 | 1.88 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.5 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 1.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.50 | 1.38 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 30, 2026 NWSL Women
Washington Spirit W vs Seattle Reign W
2:1
May 10, 2026 NWSL Women
Seattle Reign W vs Washington Spirit W
0:1
Sep 7, 2025 NWSL Women
Washington Spirit W vs Seattle Reign W
2:0
May 24, 2025 NWSL Women
Seattle Reign W vs Washington Spirit W
1:2
May 24, 2024 NWSL Women
Washington Spirit W vs Seattle Reign W
3:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Seattle Reign W Compare
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5
Washington Spirit W Compare
Top Goalscorer Martinez Ovando C.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Seattle Reign W 31 / 100
Washington Spirit W 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Seattle Reign W Washington Spirit W
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick WAS Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Seattle Reign W found the back of the net in 62% of recent matches (29 games).
Washington Spirit W has conceded goals in 61% of their last 31 outings.
Games between these two average 2.80 goals.
Seattle Reign W has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Seattle Reign W VS Washington Spirit W
1 Goals Scored 1.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Seattle Reign W
(Home) 18 Jul
Gotham FC W
3 : 2 Seattle Reign W
12 Jul
Seattle Reign W
2 : 0 Portland Thorns FC W
04 Jul
North Carolina Courage W
3 : 1 Seattle Reign W
30 May
Washington Spirit W
2 : 1 Seattle Reign W
23 May
Boston Legacy W
1 : 2 Seattle Reign W
Page 1 of 6
12 Jul
Seattle Reign W
2 : 0 Portland Thorns FC W
16 May
Seattle Reign W
0 : 2 Gotham FC W
10 May
Seattle Reign W
0 : 1 Washington Spirit W
27 Apr
Seattle Reign W
0 : 3 Utah Royals W
05 Apr
Seattle Reign W
0 : 0 Denver Summit W
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Washington Spirit W
(Away) 19 Jul
Boston Legacy W
1 : 2 Washington Spirit W
16 Jul
Gotham FC W
1 : 0 Washington Spirit W
11 Jul
North Carolina Courage W
0 : 2 Washington Spirit W
04 Jul
Washington Spirit W
2 : 1 Houston Dash W
30 May
Washington Spirit W
2 : 1 Seattle Reign W
Page 1 of 7
19 Jul
Boston Legacy W
1 : 2 Washington Spirit W
16 Jul
Gotham FC W
1 : 0 Washington Spirit W
11 Jul
North Carolina Courage W
0 : 2 Washington Spirit W
24 May
Club America W
5 : 3 Washington Spirit W
16 May
San Diego Wave W
2 : 1 Washington Spirit W
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Washington Spirit W | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 24:12 | 30 |
| 2 | Gotham FC W | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 19:10 | 30 |
| 3 | San Diego Wave W | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 23:17 | 29 |
| 4 | Portland Thorns FC W | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 25:18 | 27 |
| 5 | Utah Royals W | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 22:16 | 27 |
| 6 | Kansas City Current W | 15 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 23:22 | 25 |
| 7 | Angel City W | 14 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 22:14 | 22 |
| 8 | North Carolina Courage W | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 20:19 | 21 |
| 9 | Orlando Pride W | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 21:21 | 20 |
| 10 | Denver Summit W | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 21:19 | 19 |
| 11 | Bay FC W | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 16:19 | 18 |
| 12 | Seattle Reign W | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 15:19 | 17 |
| 13 | Houston Dash W | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 18:24 | 16 |
| 14 | Boston Legacy W | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 17:23 | 16 |
| 15 | Chicago Stars W | 15 | 4 | 0 | 11 | 8:30 | 12 |
| 16 | Racing Louisville W | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 16:27 | 8 |
Promotion - NWSL Women (Play Offs)