Sport Picks
Seattle Sounders vs Guadalajara Chivas - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
North & Central America
Leagues Cup Lumen Field, Seattle, WA 
Match Events
13'
13'
Sandnes G.
Assist: Lopez A.
26'
26'
Sub
Gonzalez B. In: Camberos H.
Out: Gonzalez B.
45'
45'
Rey L.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 1-2. The second leg ended 1-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
37%
30%
33%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Seattle Sounders
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
37%
/ Low Confidence
- Seattle Sounders haven't matched Guadalajara Chivas's recent run of results.
- 37% — that's where the model lands on Seattle Sounders taking it.
- Guadalajara Chivas arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Guadalajara Chivas, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Guadalajara Chivas have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Seattle Sounders Clean Sheet 68%
Guadalajara Chivas Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Seattle Sounders | Guadalajara Chivas |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 28 |
| Wins | 9 | 13 |
| Draws | 7 | 8 |
| Losses | 11 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.37 | 1.71 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.52 | 1.04 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 13, 2026 Leagues Cup
Seattle Sounders vs Guadalajara Chivas
1:2
Mar 15, 2018 CONCACAF Champions Cup
Guadalajara Chivas vs Seattle Sounders
3:0
Mar 8, 2018 CONCACAF Champions Cup
Seattle Sounders vs Guadalajara Chivas
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Seattle Sounders Compare
Top Goalscorer Sandnes G.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66
Guadalajara Chivas Compare
Top Goalscorer Rey L.
1 Goals Assists Leader Sandoval S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Seattle Sounders 50 / 100
Guadalajara Chivas 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Seattle Sounders Guadalajara Chivas
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Seattle Sounders Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 5:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Solid form: Seattle Sounders remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.
Attacking prowess: Seattle Sounders scored in 74% of their last 27 outings.
H2H data points to 2.33 goals as a typical output.
Guadalajara Chivas's defensive record shows goals conceded in 54% of 28 matches.
Scoring Trends
Seattle Sounders VS Guadalajara Chivas
1.75 Goals Scored 2
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Seattle Sounders
(Home) 02 Oct
Seattle Sounders
2 : 1 Sporting Kansas City
27 Sept
Seattle Sounders
3 : 1 Minnesota United
24 Sept
Seattle Sounders
2 : 0 Real Salt Lake
20 Sept
Colorado Rapids
3 : 3 Seattle Sounders
13 Sept
Los Angeles Galaxy
1 : 1 Seattle Sounders
Page 1 of 6
02 Oct
Seattle Sounders
2 : 1 Sporting Kansas City
27 Sept
Seattle Sounders
3 : 1 Minnesota United
24 Sept
Seattle Sounders
2 : 0 Real Salt Lake
06 Sept
Seattle Sounders
0 : 0 New York Red Bulls
29 Aug
Seattle Sounders
2 : 2 Chicago Fire
Page 1 of 4
Guadalajara Chivas
(Away) 05 Oct
Guadalajara Chivas
2 : 0 Club America
26 Sept
Guadalajara Chivas
0 : 2 Queretaro
20 Sept
Club America
2 : 2 Guadalajara Chivas
14 Sept
Guadalajara Chivas
3 : 0 UNAM Pumas
05 Sept
Atletico San Luis
0 : 3 Guadalajara Chivas
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Club America
2 : 2 Guadalajara Chivas
05 Sept
Atletico San Luis
0 : 3 Guadalajara Chivas
29 Aug
Pachuca
1 : 1 Guadalajara Chivas
17 Aug
Santos Laguna
0 : 1 Guadalajara Chivas
13 Aug
Seattle Sounders
1 : 2 Guadalajara Chivas
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Club Leon | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6:3 | 9 |
| 2 | Club America | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7:3 | 7 |
| 3 | Toluca | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:2 | 6 |
| 4 | Monterrey | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:4 | 6 |
| 5 | Cruz Azul | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:3 | 6 |
| 6 | Juarez | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:5 | 6 |
| 7 | Tigres UANL | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2:2 | 6 |
| 8 | Guadalajara Chivas | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:3 | 4 |
| 9 | Santos Laguna | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:5 | 3 |
| 10 | Pachuca | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:5 | 3 |
| 11 | Atlas | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:6 | 3 |
| 12 | Necaxa | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:6 | 3 |
| 13 | Atlante | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:7 | 3 |
| 14 | Atletico San Luis | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5:10 | 1 |
| 15 | UNAM Pumas | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:6 | 1 |
| 16 | Queretaro | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:6 | 1 |
| 17 | Club Tijuana | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:6 | 0 |
| 18 | Puebla | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4:11 | 0 |
Promotion - Leagues Cup (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chicago Fire | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7:2 | 9 |
| 2 | Austin FC | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6:1 | 8 |
| 3 | Columbus Crew | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6:3 | 8 |
| 4 | Real Salt Lake | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8:1 | 7 |
| 5 | Los Angeles FC | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 7 |
| 6 | Charlotte FC | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:1 | 6 |
| 7 | Portland Timbers | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9:6 | 6 |
| 8 | FC Cincinnati | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:3 | 6 |
| 9 | FC Dallas | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:3 | 6 |
| 10 | San Diego FC | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:5 | 6 |
| 11 | Orlando City | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:5 | 5 |
| 12 | Minnesota United | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:3 | 4 |
| 13 | Nashville SC | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:4 | 3 |
| 14 | Inter Miami | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7:7 | 3 |
| 15 | New York City | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:4 | 3 |
| 16 | Seattle Sounders | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:5 | 3 |
| 17 | Philadelphia Union | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:4 | 3 |
| 18 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:5 | 1 |
Promotion - Leagues Cup (Play Offs)
