Sport Picks
Seattle Sounders vs New York Red Bulls - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
USA
MLS Lumen Field, Seattle, WA 
Match Events
38'
38'
Sub
Kossa-Rienzi K. In: Brunell S.
Out: Kossa-Rienzi K.
45'
45'
Donkor R.
46'
46'
Sub
Morris J. In: Gomez S.
Out: Morris J.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this MLS matchup, with the score ending 0-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
43%
30%
27%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Seattle Sounders
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
43%
/ Low Confidence
- New York Red Bulls haven't matched Seattle Sounders's recent run of results.
- Seattle Sounders are the model's pick here, at 80%.
- Regular MLS form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Seattle Sounders Clean Sheet 20%
New York Red Bulls Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Seattle Sounders | New York Red Bulls |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 27 |
| Wins | 9 | 8 |
| Draws | 7 | 6 |
| Losses | 11 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.37 | 1.3 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.52 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 0.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 6, 2026 MLS
Seattle Sounders vs New York Red Bulls
0:0
May 28, 2023 MLS
Seattle Sounders vs New York Red Bulls
1:0
Jul 9, 2020 MLS
New York Red Bulls vs Seattle Sounders
0:0
Sep 15, 2019 MLS
Seattle Sounders vs New York Red Bulls
4:2
Jun 14, 2018 MLS
New York Red Bulls vs Seattle Sounders
2:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Seattle Sounders 76 / 100
New York Red Bulls 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Seattle Sounders New York Red Bulls
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Seattle Sounders Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
New York Red Bulls let in goals in 89% of their last 27 matches.
Recent resilience: Seattle Sounders stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.
Seattle Sounders scored in 74% of their last 27 games.
Games between these two average 2.00 goals.
Scoring Trends
Seattle Sounders VS New York Red Bulls
1.75 Goals Scored 0.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Seattle Sounders
(Home) 02 Oct
Seattle Sounders
2 : 1 Sporting Kansas City
27 Sept
Seattle Sounders
3 : 1 Minnesota United
24 Sept
Seattle Sounders
2 : 0 Real Salt Lake
20 Sept
Colorado Rapids
3 : 3 Seattle Sounders
13 Sept
Los Angeles Galaxy
1 : 1 Seattle Sounders
Page 1 of 6
02 Oct
Seattle Sounders
2 : 1 Sporting Kansas City
27 Sept
Seattle Sounders
3 : 1 Minnesota United
24 Sept
Seattle Sounders
2 : 0 Real Salt Lake
06 Sept
Seattle Sounders
0 : 0 New York Red Bulls
29 Aug
Seattle Sounders
2 : 2 Chicago Fire
Page 1 of 4
New York Red Bulls
(Away) 30 Sept
New York Red Bulls
0 : 3 St. Louis City
18 Sept
New York City
0 : 1 New York Red Bulls
12 Sept
Columbus Crew
0 : 1 New York Red Bulls
10 Sept
Los Angeles FC
2 : 0 New York Red Bulls
06 Sept
Seattle Sounders
0 : 0 New York Red Bulls
Page 1 of 6
18 Sept
New York City
0 : 1 New York Red Bulls
12 Sept
Columbus Crew
0 : 1 New York Red Bulls
10 Sept
Los Angeles FC
2 : 0 New York Red Bulls
06 Sept
Seattle Sounders
0 : 0 New York Red Bulls
15 Aug
Atlanta United
2 : 1 New York Red Bulls
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 28 | 15 | 6 | 7 | 61:30 | 51 |
| 2 | St. Louis City | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 48:36 | 47 |
| 3 | FC Dallas | 28 | 13 | 8 | 7 | 52:45 | 47 |
| 4 | San Jose Earthquakes | 28 | 13 | 7 | 8 | 50:40 | 46 |
| 5 | Houston Dynamo | 28 | 13 | 6 | 9 | 36:34 | 45 |
| 6 | Los Angeles FC | 29 | 11 | 9 | 9 | 44:31 | 42 |
| 7 | Seattle Sounders | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 38:35 | 41 |
| 8 | Colorado Rapids | 28 | 11 | 4 | 13 | 39:39 | 37 |
| 9 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 37:44 | 36 |
| 10 | Portland Timbers | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 51:54 | 33 |
| 11 | Real Salt Lake | 28 | 9 | 5 | 14 | 41:46 | 32 |
| 12 | San Diego FC | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 48:51 | 32 |
| 13 | Austin FC | 28 | 7 | 10 | 11 | 36:51 | 31 |
| 14 | Minnesota United | 28 | 7 | 9 | 12 | 42:51 | 30 |
| 15 | Sporting Kansas City | 28 | 6 | 4 | 18 | 35:68 | 22 |
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 28 | 19 | 6 | 3 | 59:22 | 63 |
| 2 | Inter Miami | 28 | 13 | 10 | 5 | 68:50 | 49 |
| 3 | Chicago Fire | 28 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 51:40 | 48 |
| 4 | New England Revolution | 28 | 14 | 4 | 10 | 45:39 | 46 |
| 5 | Charlotte FC | 28 | 13 | 7 | 8 | 50:40 | 46 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | 56:45 | 42 |
| 7 | Orlando City | 28 | 11 | 4 | 13 | 51:66 | 37 |
| 8 | New York Red Bulls | 28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | 38:52 | 36 |
| 9 | FC Cincinnati | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 58:65 | 36 |
| 10 | New York City | 28 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 42:38 | 33 |
| 11 | Toronto FC | 28 | 7 | 11 | 10 | 41:52 | 32 |
| 12 | DC United | 27 | 6 | 12 | 9 | 34:46 | 30 |
| 13 | Columbus Crew | 28 | 8 | 5 | 15 | 41:46 | 29 |
| 14 | Atlanta United | 28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 33:48 | 27 |
| 15 | CF Montreal | 28 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 35:56 | 24 |
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
