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Seattle Sounders vs Queretaro - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

North & Central America North & Central America

Leagues Cup Lumen Field, Seattle, WA
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Match Events

4' Event
Gomez S.
Assist: Rothrock P.
41' Event
Musovski D.
Assist: Rothrock P.
44'
Anchor M.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-0. This leg finished 3-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Seattle Sounders
20%
Draws
40%
Queretaro
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Queretaro lately — more wins on the board than Seattle Sounders.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Queretaro arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Seattle Sounders, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Seattle Sounders Clean Sheet 17%
Queretaro Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Seattle Sounders Queretaro
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 10 12
Draws 7 9
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 1.43 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.46 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 0.91 1.40
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 9, 2026 Leagues Cup
Seattle Sounders vs Queretaro
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Seattle Sounders Compare

Top Goalscorer Gomez S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Musovski D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.7
Avg xA / game 0.46

Queretaro Compare

Avg xG / game 1.27
Avg xA / game 0.78

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Seattle Sounders 30 / 100
Queretaro 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Seattle Sounders Queretaro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Seattle Sounders Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Seattle Sounders remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Seattle Sounders scored in 75% of their last 28 outings.

Queretaro has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Seattle Sounders VS Queretaro
1.25 Goals Scored 1.43
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.57
88% Over 1.5 71%
38% Over 2.5 29%
25% Over 3.5 14%

Recent Form & Match History

Seattle Sounders

(Home)
10 Oct
New England Revolution
0 : 3
Seattle Sounders
02 Oct
Seattle Sounders
2 : 1
Sporting Kansas City
27 Sept
Seattle Sounders
3 : 1
Minnesota United
24 Sept
Seattle Sounders
2 : 0
Real Salt Lake
20 Sept
Colorado Rapids
3 : 3
Seattle Sounders
Page 1 of 6

Queretaro

(Away)
10 Oct
Queretaro
2 : 0
Atlante
26 Sept
Guadalajara Chivas
0 : 2
Queretaro
21 Sept
Queretaro
1 : 1
Club Leon
12 Sept
Club Tijuana
0 : 1
Queretaro
29 Aug
Atlas
1 : 3
Queretaro
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Club Leon 3 3 0 0 6:3 9
2 Club America 3 2 0 1 7:3 7
3 Toluca 3 2 0 1 6:2 6
4 Monterrey 3 2 0 1 5:4 6
5 Cruz Azul 3 2 0 1 4:3 6
6 Juarez 3 2 0 1 5:5 6
7 Tigres UANL 3 3 0 0 2:2 6
8 Guadalajara Chivas 3 1 0 2 3:3 4
9 Santos Laguna 3 1 0 2 3:5 3
10 Pachuca 3 1 0 2 3:5 3
11 Atlas 3 1 0 2 3:6 3
12 Necaxa 3 1 0 2 3:6 3
13 Atlante 3 1 0 2 2:7 3
14 Atletico San Luis 3 0 0 3 5:10 1
15 UNAM Pumas 3 0 0 3 1:6 1
16 Queretaro 3 0 0 3 1:6 1
17 Club Tijuana 3 0 0 3 1:6 0
18 Puebla 3 0 0 3 4:11 0
Promotion - Leagues Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chicago Fire 3 3 0 0 7:2 9
2 Austin FC 3 3 0 0 6:1 8
3 Columbus Crew 3 3 0 0 6:3 8
4 Real Salt Lake 3 2 0 1 8:1 7
5 Los Angeles FC 3 3 0 0 3:2 7
6 Charlotte FC 3 2 0 1 5:1 6
7 Portland Timbers 3 2 0 1 9:6 6
8 FC Cincinnati 3 2 0 1 6:3 6
9 FC Dallas 3 2 0 1 4:3 6
10 San Diego FC 3 2 0 1 5:5 6
11 Orlando City 3 2 0 1 5:5 5
12 Minnesota United 3 1 0 2 4:3 4
13 Nashville SC 3 1 0 2 5:4 3
14 Inter Miami 3 1 0 2 7:7 3
15 New York City 3 1 0 2 4:4 3
16 Seattle Sounders 3 1 0 2 4:5 3
17 Philadelphia Union 3 1 0 2 3:4 3
18 Vancouver Whitecaps 3 0 0 3 2:5 1
Promotion - Leagues Cup (Play Offs)