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Seattle Sounders vs Sporting Kansas City - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

USA USA

MLS Lumen Field, Seattle, WA
Seattle Sounders Logo

Seattle Sounders

2 - 1
FT
Sporting Kansas City Logo

Sporting Kansas City

Our Tip

Match Events

44' Event
Andre Luiz
Assist: Afrifa S.
46'
Sub
Musovski D. In: Gomez S.
Out: Musovski D.
51' Event
Gomez S.
Assist: Morris J.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The MLS game between Seattle Sounders and Sporting Kansas City finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Seattle Sounders.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Seattle Sounders
20%
Draws
28%
Sporting Kansas City
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Seattle Sounders

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Sporting Kansas City haven't matched Seattle Sounders's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Seattle Sounders a 52% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Seattle Sounders have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Seattle Sounders Clean Sheet 16%
Sporting Kansas City Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Seattle Sounders Sporting Kansas City
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 12 7
Draws 8 3
Losses 11 19
Goals Scored 1.32 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.35 2.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 2, 2026 MLS
Seattle Sounders vs Sporting Kansas City
2:1
May 2, 2026 MLS
Sporting Kansas City vs Seattle Sounders
1:1
Aug 25, 2025 MLS
Seattle Sounders vs Sporting Kansas City
5:2
Jul 13, 2025 MLS
Sporting Kansas City vs Seattle Sounders
2:3
Sep 15, 2024 MLS
Seattle Sounders vs Sporting Kansas City
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Seattle Sounders Compare

Top Goalscorer Gomez S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Roldan C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Sporting Kansas City Compare

Top Goalscorer Andre Luiz
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Seattle Sounders 66 / 100
Sporting Kansas City 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Seattle Sounders Sporting Kansas City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Seattle Sounders Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sporting Kansas City let in goals in 93% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Solid form: Seattle Sounders remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Seattle Sounders scored in 74% of their last 31 games.

Scoring Trends

Seattle Sounders VS Sporting Kansas City
1.25 Goals Scored 1.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Seattle Sounders

(Home)
02 Oct
Seattle Sounders
2 : 1
Sporting Kansas City
27 Sept
Seattle Sounders
3 : 1
Minnesota United
24 Sept
Seattle Sounders
2 : 0
Real Salt Lake
20 Sept
Colorado Rapids
3 : 3
Seattle Sounders
13 Sept
Los Angeles Galaxy
1 : 1
Seattle Sounders
Page 1 of 7

Sporting Kansas City

(Away)
02 Oct
Seattle Sounders
2 : 1
Sporting Kansas City
27 Sept
Houston Dynamo
0 : 2
Sporting Kansas City
20 Sept
Sporting Kansas City
3 : 4
Philadelphia Union
13 Sept
Sporting Kansas City
3 : 1
Los Angeles FC
06 Sept
FC Dallas
4 : 3
Sporting Kansas City
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vancouver Whitecaps 27 15 5 7 60:29 50
2 St. Louis City 27 13 8 6 48:36 47
3 FC Dallas 27 13 8 6 50:42 47
4 San Jose Earthquakes 27 13 6 8 49:39 45
5 Houston Dynamo 27 13 5 9 34:32 44
6 Los Angeles FC 28 11 8 9 43:30 41
7 Seattle Sounders 27 10 8 9 35:35 38
8 Colorado Rapids 27 11 3 13 38:38 36
9 Los Angeles Galaxy 28 9 9 10 37:44 36
10 Portland Timbers 27 9 5 13 48:51 32
11 Real Salt Lake 27 9 5 13 40:44 32
12 San Diego FC 27 8 8 11 47:47 32
13 Austin FC 27 7 10 10 35:47 31
14 Minnesota United 27 7 8 12 40:49 29
15 Sporting Kansas City 27 6 3 18 32:65 21
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nashville SC 27 18 6 3 55:21 60
2 Chicago Fire 28 14 6 8 51:40 48
3 New England Revolution 27 14 4 9 45:36 46
4 Inter Miami 27 12 10 5 64:50 46
5 Charlotte FC 27 12 7 8 47:38 43
6 Philadelphia Union 27 11 6 10 54:44 39
7 Orlando City 27 10 4 13 48:64 34
8 New York Red Bulls 27 9 6 12 34:51 33
9 New York City 28 8 9 11 42:38 33
10 FC Cincinnati 26 8 9 9 55:64 33
11 Toronto FC 28 7 11 10 41:52 32
12 DC United 26 6 12 8 34:42 30
13 Columbus Crew 27 8 5 14 39:43 29
14 Atlanta United 27 7 6 14 32:45 27
15 CF Montreal 28 6 6 16 35:56 24
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)