Sport Picks
Seattle Sounders vs St. Louis City
USA
MLS Lumen Field, Seattle, WA 
Match Events
22'
22'
Roldan C.
Assist: Rusnak A.
37'
37'
Roldan C.
Assist: Rusnak A.
46'
46'
Sub
Arriola P. In: Rothrock P.
Out: Arriola P.
AI Match Summary
Seattle Sounders in this MLS matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Seattle Sounders.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
4%
6%
90%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: St. Louis City
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- Seattle Sounders have won more games recently than St. Louis City.
- St. Louis City are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Regular MLS form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Seattle Sounders have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Seattle Sounders Clean Sheet 13%
St. Louis City Clean Sheet 13%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Seattle Sounders | St. Louis City |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 27 |
| Wins | 16 | 12 |
| Draws | 3 | 6 |
| Losses | 9 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1 | 1.75 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.63 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.63 | 1.25 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 19, 2026 MLS
Seattle Sounders vs St. Louis City
4:1
Mar 8, 2026 MLS
St. Louis City vs Seattle Sounders
0:1
May 4, 2025 MLS
Seattle Sounders vs St. Louis City
4:1
Mar 16, 2025 MLS
St. Louis City vs Seattle Sounders
1:0
Jul 18, 2024 MLS
Seattle Sounders vs St. Louis City
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Seattle Sounders Compare
Top Goalscorer Roldan C.
2 Goals Assists Leader De Rosario O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5
St. Louis City Compare
Top Goalscorer Lowen E.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Seattle Sounders 10 / 100
St. Louis City 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Seattle Sounders St. Louis City
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick SLC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: St. Louis City conceded in 81% of 27 recent games.
Seattle Sounders's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.
Solid form: Seattle Sounders remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Seattle Sounders VS St. Louis City
1 Goals Scored 1.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Seattle Sounders
(Home) 17 Jul
Seattle Sounders
1 : 5 Portland Timbers
25 May
Los Angeles FC
1 : 0 Seattle Sounders
17 May
Seattle Sounders
0 : 2 Los Angeles Galaxy
14 May
Seattle Sounders
3 : 2 San Jose Earthquakes
10 May
Seattle Sounders
1 : 1 San Diego FC
Page 1 of 6
17 Jul
Seattle Sounders
1 : 5 Portland Timbers
17 May
Seattle Sounders
0 : 2 Los Angeles Galaxy
14 May
Seattle Sounders
3 : 2 San Jose Earthquakes
10 May
Seattle Sounders
1 : 1 San Diego FC
26 Apr
Seattle Sounders
2 : 1 FC Dallas
Page 1 of 3
St. Louis City
(Away) 17 Jul
St. Louis City
3 : 2 Sporting Kansas City
23 May
St. Louis City
3 : 0 Austin FC
20 May
St. Louis City
3 : 2 Houston Dynamo
16 May
DC United
1 : 1 St. Louis City
14 May
St. Louis City
2 : 1 Los Angeles FC
Page 1 of 6
16 May
DC United
1 : 1 St. Louis City
10 May
Colorado Rapids
0 : 1 St. Louis City
03 May
Austin FC
2 : 0 St. Louis City
30 Apr
Chicago Fire
1 : 2 St. Louis City
19 Apr
Seattle Sounders
4 : 1 St. Louis City
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 34:12 | 32 |
| 2 | San Jose Earthquakes | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 34:15 | 32 |
| 3 | Los Angeles FC | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27:17 | 27 |
| 4 | Real Salt Lake | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 26:19 | 26 |
| 5 | FC Dallas | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 30:22 | 25 |
| 6 | Seattle Sounders | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 18:16 | 24 |
| 7 | Houston Dynamo | 14 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 19:23 | 22 |
| 8 | Minnesota United | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 18:22 | 22 |
| 9 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 22:25 | 20 |
| 10 | St. Louis City | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 19:22 | 19 |
| 11 | Portland Timbers | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 27:29 | 17 |
| 12 | San Diego FC | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 30:27 | 17 |
| 13 | Colorado Rapids | 15 | 5 | 1 | 9 | 25:24 | 16 |
| 14 | Austin FC | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 19:31 | 14 |
| 15 | Sporting Kansas City | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 16:39 | 11 |
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 15 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 32:11 | 36 |
| 2 | Inter Miami | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 39:28 | 31 |
| 3 | Chicago Fire | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 27:16 | 26 |
| 4 | New England Revolution | 14 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 22:18 | 25 |
| 5 | New York Red Bulls | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 25:32 | 22 |
| 6 | Charlotte FC | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 24:23 | 21 |
| 7 | FC Cincinnati | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 36:37 | 20 |
| 8 | New York City | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 25:21 | 19 |
| 9 | DC United | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 21:25 | 18 |
| 10 | Columbus Crew | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 21:23 | 16 |
| 11 | CF Montreal | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 22:31 | 15 |
| 12 | Toronto FC | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 22:29 | 15 |
| 13 | Orlando City | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 23:44 | 14 |
| 14 | Atlanta United | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 14:24 | 11 |
| 15 | Philadelphia Union | 15 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 18:30 | 7 |
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)