Sport Picks
Security Systems vs Sua Flamingoes - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Botswana
Premier League 2024/2025 Lobatse Stadium, Lobatse 
Match Events
16'
16'
Mafoko B.
40'
40'
Makgoro S.
AI Match Summary
Sua Flamingoes in this Premier League 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sua Flamingoes.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
19%
30%
51%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sua Flamingoes
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Sua Flamingoes lately — more wins on the board than Security Systems.
- 51% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- These two have met 5 times recently and Sua Flamingoes have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Security Systems Clean Sheet 18%
Sua Flamingoes Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Security Systems | Sua Flamingoes |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 6 | 19 |
| Draws | 8 | 6 |
| Losses | 16 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 1 | 1.52 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.5 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.10 | 1.36 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 4, 2025 Premier League
Security Systems vs Sua Flamingoes
0:2
Oct 26, 2024 Premier League
Sua Flamingoes vs Security Systems
3:0
May 19, 2024 Premier League
Security Systems vs Sua Flamingoes
3:3
Oct 28, 2023 Premier League
Sua Flamingoes vs Security Systems
3:1
May 19, 2023 Premier League
Security Systems vs Sua Flamingoes
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Security Systems Compare
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55
Sua Flamingoes Compare
Top Goalscorer Mafoko B.
1 Goals Assists Leader Makgoro S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.24
Avg xA / game 0.76
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Security Systems 36 / 100
Sua Flamingoes 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Security Systems Sua Flamingoes
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Sua Flamingoes Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.
Sua Flamingoes has conceded goals in 61% of their last 31 outings.
Security Systems found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (30 games).
Recent resilience: Security Systems stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
- VS Sua Flamingoes
0 Goals Scored 1.63
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Security Systems
(Home) 24 May
Flamingo Santos
3 : 3 Security Systems
17 May
Security Systems
7 : 1 Chadibe
14 May
Centre Chiefs
3 : 2 Security Systems
04 May
Security Systems
0 : 2 Sua Flamingoes
16 Apr
Tafic FC
3 : 1 Security Systems
Page 1 of 6
17 May
Security Systems
7 : 1 Chadibe
04 May
Security Systems
0 : 2 Sua Flamingoes
12 Apr
Security Systems
1 : 2 BDF XI
01 Mar
Security Systems
0 : 0 Jwaneng Galaxy
26 Feb
Security Systems
0 : 0 Orapa United
Page 1 of 3
Sua Flamingoes
(Away) 19 Sept
Sua Flamingoes
1 : 1 Enesia
12 Sept
Sua Flamingoes
1 : 0 Prisons XI Gaborone
05 Sept
Morupule
0 : 0 Sua Flamingoes
29 Aug
Sua Flamingoes
1 : 0 Matebele
22 May
Matebele
1 : 2 Sua Flamingoes
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05 Sept
Morupule
0 : 0 Sua Flamingoes
22 May
Matebele
1 : 2 Sua Flamingoes
25 Apr
Jwaneng Galaxy
0 : 0 Sua Flamingoes
11 Apr
BDF XI
1 : 3 Sua Flamingoes
18 Mar
Santa Green
1 : 3 Sua Flamingoes
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gaborone Utd | 30 | 20 | 6 | 4 | 56:23 | 66 |
| 2 | Tafic FC | 30 | 17 | 9 | 4 | 51:23 | 60 |
| 3 | Sua Flamingoes | 30 | 17 | 8 | 5 | 63:31 | 59 |
| 4 | Jwaneng Galaxy | 30 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 43:20 | 59 |
| 5 | Centre Chiefs | 30 | 15 | 11 | 4 | 46:20 | 56 |
| 6 | Township Rollers | 30 | 15 | 9 | 6 | 37:28 | 54 |
| 7 | Morupule | 30 | 12 | 6 | 12 | 41:36 | 42 |
| 8 | Orapa United | 30 | 9 | 13 | 8 | 36:31 | 40 |
| 9 | VTM FC | 30 | 8 | 11 | 11 | 36:33 | 35 |
| 10 | Nico United | 30 | 7 | 11 | 12 | 18:32 | 32 |
| 11 | BDF XI | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 28:33 | 31 |
| 12 | Matebele | 30 | 8 | 6 | 16 | 30:45 | 30 |
| 13 | Extension Gunners | 30 | 8 | 5 | 17 | 25:48 | 29 |
| 14 | Security Systems | 30 | 6 | 8 | 16 | 30:45 | 26 |
| 15 | Chadibe | 30 | 2 | 10 | 18 | 19:62 | 16 |
| 16 | Flamingo Santos | 30 | 2 | 7 | 21 | 18:67 | 13 |
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2025/2026 (Qualification)
