Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sedan vs Dunkerque

France France

National 2022/2023 Stade Louis Dugauguez, Sedan
Our Tip

Match Events

6'
Sub
Baghdadi S. In: Ba-Sy A.
Out: Baghdadi S.
18' Event
Ipiele A.
24' Event
Bilingi Y.

AI Match Summary

Dunkerque in this National 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Dunkerque.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Sedan
20%
Draws
52%
Dunkerque
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Dunkerque

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Dunkerque haven't matched Sedan's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Dunkerque a 52% chance of winning this.
  • Regular National 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38%
Sedan Clean Sheet 21%
Dunkerque Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sedan Dunkerque
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 9
Draws 6 6
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 1.31 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 24, 2023 Ligue 3
Sedan vs Dunkerque
1:3
Oct 21, 2022 Ligue 3
Dunkerque vs Sedan
1:3
Jul 16, 2022 Club Friendly
Sedan vs Dunkerque
2:1
Feb 17, 2017 Ligue 3
Sedan vs Dunkerque
1:2
Sep 9, 2016 Ligue 3
Dunkerque vs Sedan
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sedan Compare

Top Goalscorer Ramalingom A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.74

Dunkerque Compare

Top Goalscorer Ipiele A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bilingi Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.62

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sedan 16 / 100
Dunkerque 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sedan Dunkerque

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dunkerque Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dunkerque's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Sedan found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

Sedan went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Dunkerque
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.75
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Sedan

(Home)
03 Feb
FC Rodange 91
2 : 0
Sedan
26 May
Sedan
0 : 3
Villefranche
19 May
Stade Briochin
2 : 1
Sedan
12 May
Sedan
3 : 2
Chateauroux
28 Apr
Cholet
1 : 2
Sedan
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Dunkerque

(Away)
14 Aug
Reims
3 : 3
Dunkerque
08 Aug
Dunkerque
4 : 2
Grenoble
01 Aug
KV Mechelen
0 : 0
Dunkerque
25 Jul
Dunkerque
3 : 1
Westerlo
22 Jul
Dunkerque
2 : 1
Samsunspor
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Concarneau 34 19 6 9 60:37 62
2 Dunkerque 34 19 5 10 50:32 62
3 Red Star 34 17 9 8 51:30 60
4 Martigues 34 15 15 4 54:40 60
5 Versailles 34 14 9 11 41:41 51
6 Villefranche 34 11 13 10 49:40 46
7 Sedan 34 12 10 12 41:47 46
8 Cholet 34 11 12 11 38:41 45
9 Avranches 34 14 4 16 44:46 45
10 Orleans 34 10 14 10 38:37 44
11 Chateauroux 34 12 8 14 41:46 44
12 Le Mans 34 10 13 11 50:42 43
13 Nancy 34 10 12 12 37:42 41
14 Bourg Peronnas 34 9 13 12 42:46 40
15 Stade Briochin 34 8 14 12 36:46 38
16 Le Puy-en-Velay 34 7 14 13 34:50 35
17 Paris 13 Atletico 34 6 13 15 28:42 31
18 Borgo 34 6 8 20 32:61 26
Promotion - Ligue 2 2023/2024 (Main)