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Seeboden vs TSV Grafenstein - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Austria Austria

Karnten
Sat, Oct 10, 2026
VS
01:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Seeboden host TSV Grafenstein in the Karnten. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Recent numbers: Seeboden at 2.18 goals for, 2.91 against; TSV Grafenstein at 2.16 for, 1.68 against. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. Model xG sits at 1.75 vs 2.63, favoring TSV Grafenstein. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Seeboden
20%
Draws
57%
TSV Grafenstein
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: TSV Grafenstein

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • TSV Grafenstein carry the better recent record into this one.
  • TSV Grafenstein are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 81%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 81%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 83.4%
Seeboden Clean Sheet 10%
TSV Grafenstein Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Seeboden TSV Grafenstein
Matches Played 11 31
Wins 3 13
Draws 4 8
Losses 4 10
Goals Scored 2.18 2.16
Goals Conceded 2.91 1.68
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 2.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Seeboden 10 / 100
TSV Grafenstein 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Seeboden TSV Grafenstein

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TSV Grafenstein Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Seeboden found the back of the net in 100% of recent matches (11 games).

Defensive concern: TSV Grafenstein conceded in 81% of 31 recent games.

Recent resilience: Seeboden stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

TSV Grafenstein's recent record shows 1 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Seeboden VS TSV Grafenstein
2 Goals Scored 2.63
2.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Seeboden

(Home)
03 Oct
Launsdorf
4 : 1
Seeboden
26 Sept
Seeboden
2 : 1
SC Landskron
18 Sept
Matrei
6 : 2
Seeboden
13 Sept
Seeboden
2 : 5
SV Spittal
04 Sept
SGA Sirnitz
3 : 3
Seeboden
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TSV Grafenstein

(Away)
03 Oct
TSV Grafenstein
2 : 2
Dellach/Gail
26 Sept
Launsdorf
3 : 1
TSV Grafenstein
18 Sept
TSV Grafenstein
6 : 2
Saint Michael Lavanttal
13 Sept
SC Landskron
1 : 4
TSV Grafenstein
04 Sept
TSV Grafenstein
4 : 1
Nussdorf
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