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Segesta vs Karlovac Prediction & H2H Stats

Croatia Croatia

Prva NL Gradski stadion Sisak, Sisak
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Match Events

2' Event
Stepinac G.
25'
Chardey E.
27' Event
Brlek P.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Prva NL matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Segesta
20%
Draws
33%
Karlovac
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Segesta

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Segesta have won more games recently than Karlovac.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Segesta Clean Sheet 18%
Karlovac Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Segesta Karlovac
Matches Played 30 35
Wins 21 12
Draws 5 7
Losses 4 16
Goals Scored 2.63 1.2
Goals Conceded 0.83 1.49
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2026 Prva NL
Segesta vs Karlovac
1:1
Jul 18, 2026 Club Friendly
Segesta vs Karlovac
4:0
Feb 7, 2026 Club Friendly
Segesta vs Karlovac
0:1
Feb 28, 2025 Druga NL
Karlovac vs Segesta
4:0
Aug 31, 2024 Druga NL
Segesta vs Karlovac
4:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Segesta Compare

Top Goalscorer Brlek P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.92
Avg xA / game 1.25

Karlovac Compare

Top Goalscorer Stepinac G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Segesta 31 / 100
Karlovac 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Segesta Karlovac

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Segesta Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Segesta found the back of the net in 87% of recent matches (30 games).

Karlovac let in goals in 89% of their last 35 matches.

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Segesta has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Segesta VS Karlovac
3.5 Goals Scored 1.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Segesta

(Home)
27 Sept
Segesta
1 : 1
Karlovac
18 Sept
Mladost Zdralovi
1 : 3
Segesta
12 Sept
Segesta
2 : 1
Dugopolje
09 Sept
Segesta
3 : 1
Osijek
05 Sept
Sesvete
2 : 0
Segesta
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Karlovac

(Away)
27 Sept
Segesta
1 : 1
Karlovac
20 Sept
Karlovac
0 : 1
Dubrava Zagreb
15 Sept
Bjelovar
0 : 2
Karlovac
12 Sept
Mladost Zdralovi
1 : 0
Karlovac
06 Sept
Karlovac
3 : 1
Hrvace
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jadran Luka Ploce 7 4 2 1 12:7 14
2 Croatia Zmijavci 7 4 1 2 11:6 13
3 Cibalia 7 3 4 0 7:4 13
4 Bijelo Brdo 7 4 1 2 8:6 13
5 Segesta 7 3 2 2 9:8 11
6 Mladost Zdralovi 7 3 2 2 6:6 11
7 Sesvete 7 3 0 4 9:8 9
8 Dinamo Zagreb 2 7 3 0 4 11:11 9
9 Dugopolje 7 2 3 2 9:9 9
10 Dubrava Zagreb 7 2 2 3 6:7 8
11 Karlovac 7 2 2 3 8:10 8
12 Orijent 7 2 2 3 6:8 8
13 Vukovar 1991 7 2 2 3 11:14 8
14 Opatija 7 2 1 4 8:10 7
15 Hrvace 7 2 1 4 7:12 7
16 Kustosija 7 1 3 3 3:5 6
Promotion - HNL 2027/2028 (Main)