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Segesta vs Trnje

Croatia Croatia

Druga NL 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Kozic L.
39' Event
Kozic L.
81' Event
Brkic M.

AI Match Summary

Segesta in this Druga NL 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Segesta.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Segesta
30%
Draws
43%
Trnje
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Trnje

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Segesta lately — more wins on the board than Trnje.
  • Win probability leans Trnje's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 96%
Over 1.5 Goals 85.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 53%
Over 4.5 Goals 24%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Segesta Clean Sheet 17%
Trnje Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Segesta Trnje
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 23 11
Draws 4 9
Losses 5 10
Goals Scored 2.59 1.6
Goals Conceded 0.84 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 2.63 1.37
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 Druga NL
Segesta vs Trnje
3:0
Oct 25, 2025 Druga NL
Trnje vs Segesta
2:3
Mar 8, 2025 Druga NL
Segesta vs Trnje
4:0
Sep 10, 2024 Druga NL
Trnje vs Segesta
2:2
Apr 16, 2022 3. HNL Center
Segesta vs Trnje
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Segesta Compare

Top Goalscorer Kozic L.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Brkic M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.02
Avg xA / game 1.31

Trnje Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.76

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Segesta 20 / 100
Trnje 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Segesta Trnje

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Trnje Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Segesta scored in 84% of their last 32 games.

H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.

Trnje's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

Solid form: Segesta remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Segesta VS Trnje
4.25 Goals Scored 1.86
0.88 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 71%
63% Over 2.5 57%
63% Over 3.5 43%

Recent Form & Match History

Segesta

(Home)
12 Sept
Segesta
2 : 1
Dugopolje
09 Sept
Segesta
3 : 1
Osijek
05 Sept
Sesvete
2 : 0
Segesta
02 Sept
Segesta
0 : 0
Kustosija
28 Aug
Vukovar 1991
2 : 0
Segesta
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Trnje

(Away)
12 Sept
Jarun
3 : 3
Trnje
05 Sept
Trnje
1 : 0
NK Koprivnica
28 Aug
Bjelovar
0 : 2
Trnje
22 Aug
Trnje
3 : 0
NK Inker Zapresic
14 Aug
Karlovac
2 : 2
Trnje
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Segesta 30 21 2 7 58:33 65
2 Kustosija 30 17 8 5 55:23 59
3 Jadran Luka Ploce 30 18 5 7 56:29 59
4 Mladost Zdralovi 30 17 8 5 48:32 59
5 Uljanik Pula 30 16 4 10 53:44 52
6 Uskok Klis 30 14 5 11 48:36 47
7 Radnik Krizevci 30 13 8 9 39:28 47
8 Solin 30 12 9 9 46:43 45
9 Trnje 30 8 7 15 37:48 31
10 Grobnican 30 7 10 13 46:60 31
11 Varteks Varazdin (2011) 30 8 7 15 34:48 31
12 Bjelovar 30 7 8 15 32:46 29
13 Lucko 30 8 5 17 32:46 29
14 Dugo Selo 30 7 8 15 22:43 29
15 Dragovoljac 30 6 10 14 28:49 28
16 Croatia Dakovo 30 7 4 19 30:56 25
Promotion - Prva NL (Main)