Sport Picks

Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 3

Selaya

0 - 1

CD Tropezon

Our Tip

Match Events

85'

Arjona J.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 3 game between Selaya and CD Tropezon finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CD Tropezon.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%

Selaya

17%

Draws

13%

CD Tropezon

Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Selaya

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence

CD Tropezon carry the better recent record into this one.
Model gives Selaya a 70% chance of winning this.
Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 3 form gives a decent read on both sides.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
These two have met 5 times recently and CD Tropezon have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 75%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.4%

Selaya Clean Sheet 68%

CD Tropezon Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Selaya	CD Tropezon
Matches Played	30	31
Wins	6	19
Draws	7	4
Losses	17	8
Goals Scored	2.14	1.25
Goals Conceded	1.29	0.5
Expected Goals (xG)	2.14	1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.29	0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 3

Selaya vs CD Tropezon

Possession: 53% - 52% Cards: 1 - 0

0:1

Oct 11, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 3

CD Tropezon vs Selaya

Possession: 60% - 50% Cards: 2 - 1

1:0

Mar 7, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 3

CD Tropezon vs Selaya

Possession: 59% - 59% Cards: 2 - 1

4:2

Dec 5, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 3

Selaya vs CD Tropezon

Possession: 53% - 41% Cards: 3 - 0

2:5

Sep 18, 2020 Club Friendly

CD Tropezon vs Selaya

Possession: 59% - 59% Cards: 3 - 4

4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Selaya Compare

Avg xG / game 1.65

Avg xA / game 1.07

CD Tropezon Compare

Top Goalscorer Arjona J.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.14

Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Selaya 77 / 100

CD Tropezon 14 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Selaya CD Tropezon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SEL Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Selaya stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Selaya's goal record stands at 50% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

CD Tropezon's defensive record shows goals conceded in 48% of 31 matches.

Scoring Trends

Selaya VS CD Tropezon

2.14 Goals Scored 1.25

1.29 Goals Conceded 0.5

100% Over 1.5 50%

71% Over 2.5 25%

43% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Gimnastic de Torrelavega	34	26	5	3	86:15	83
2	CD Laredo	34	21	8	5	63:28	71
3	CD Tropezon	34	21	4	9	50:27	67
4	Guarnizo	34	19	9	6	47:26	66
5	UM Escobedo	34	21	2	11	65:43	65
6	Vimenor	34	17	8	9	47:36	59
7	Atletico Albericia	34	17	5	12	61:45	56
8	Cayon CD	34	17	5	12	50:41	56
9	Torina	34	15	8	11	39:40	53
10	Bezana	34	13	8	13	43:38	47
11	Castro	34	10	8	16	44:47	38
12	Selaya	34	8	8	18	32:44	32
13	SD Revilla	34	8	7	19	35:63	31
14	CD Barquereno	34	8	6	20	37:64	30
15	UC Cartes	34	6	10	18	28:52	28
16	CD Colindres	34	6	10	18	27:47	28
17	CD Montanas del Pas	34	6	8	20	35:87	26
18	SD Noja	34	4	7	23	22:68	19