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Selaya vs Santona

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Tercera Division - Group 3 2014/2015
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 3 2014/2015 game between Selaya and Santona finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Selaya.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Selaya
35%
Draws
19%
Santona
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Selaya

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Selaya come out ahead of Santona on wins alone.
  • Model gives Selaya a 46% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Selaya Clean Sheet 17%
Santona Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Selaya Santona
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 8 7
Draws 9 7
Losses 17 16
Goals Scored 0.85 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.29 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 0.85 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 18, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Selaya vs Santona
2:0
Aug 31, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Santona vs Selaya
0:0
Apr 20, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Selaya vs Santona
4:1
Dec 14, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Santona vs Selaya
5:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Selaya 39 / 100
Santona 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Selaya Santona

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Selaya Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Santona's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Selaya stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Santona's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Selaya VS -
0.5 Goals Scored 0
1.75 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Selaya

(Home)
12 Sept
CD Tropezon
3 : 0
Selaya
06 Sept
Selaya
0 : 0
Castro
21 Aug
Selaya
0 : 3
Cayon CD
09 May
Atletico Albericia
2 : 4
Selaya
03 May
Selaya
1 : 1
CD Laredo
Page 1 of 7

Santona

(Away)
17 May
Rayo Cantabria
1 : 0
Santona
10 May
Santona
2 : 2
Barreda Balompie
02 May
Dep. Rayo Cantabria (Inactive)
3 : 1
Santona
29 Apr
Santona
0 : 1
Atletico Albericia
26 Apr
CD Revilla
2 : 2
Santona
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CD Laredo 38 28 5 5 81:22 89
2 Gimnastic de Torrelavega 38 25 10 3 75:23 85
3 Rayo Cantabria 38 24 9 5 70:23 81
4 Cayon CD 38 24 8 6 70:34 80
5 Dep. Rayo Cantabria (Inactive) 38 22 8 8 65:26 74
6 Textil Escudo 38 18 7 13 51:45 61
7 CD Revilla 38 17 7 14 54:56 58
8 Castro 38 15 8 15 30:39 53
9 Atletico Albericia 38 13 14 11 40:34 53
10 Vimenor 38 12 14 12 42:43 50
11 CD Siete Villas 38 11 14 13 47:58 47
12 UM Escobedo 38 12 10 16 43:50 46
13 Gama 38 11 8 19 29:53 41
14 Selaya 38 10 11 17 41:53 41
15 Bezana 38 10 10 18 40:61 40
16 CD Colindres 38 9 12 17 47:55 39
17 Santona 38 8 9 21 33:52 33
18 Arenas De Frajanas 38 8 7 23 31:69 31
19 Buelna 38 7 7 24 32:68 28
20 Barreda Balompie 38 3 8 27 23:80 17
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2014/2015 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2014/2015 (Main)