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Selbak vs Sparta Sarpsborg

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 1 2014
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Division 3 - Group 1 2014 game between Selbak and Sparta Sarpsborg finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Selbak.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Selbak
20%
Draws
0%
Sparta Sarpsborg
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Selbak

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Sparta Sarpsborg carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Selbak a 80% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Division 3 - Group 1 2014 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Selbak Clean Sheet 10%
Sparta Sarpsborg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Selbak Sparta Sarpsborg
Matches Played 34 36
Wins 2 10
Draws 6 4
Losses 26 22
Goals Scored 1.09 1.75
Goals Conceded 3.65 3.14
Expected Goals (xG) 3.25 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 18, 2014 Division 3 - Group 1
Sparta Sarpsborg vs Selbak
1:1
Jun 27, 2014 Division 3 - Group 1
Selbak vs Sparta Sarpsborg
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Selbak 83 / 100
Sparta Sarpsborg 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Selbak Sparta Sarpsborg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Selbak Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sparta Sarpsborg has conceded goals in 86% of their last 36 outings.

Sparta Sarpsborg lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Selbak scored in 68% of their last 34 outings.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Selbak VS Sparta Sarpsborg
1 Goals Scored 0
3.75 Goals Conceded 5.5
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Selbak

(Home)
27 Oct
Lorenskog
8 : 0
Selbak
20 Oct
Selbak
2 : 2
Lillestrom 2
13 Oct
Skjetten
3 : 0
Selbak
06 Oct
Selbak
0 : 5
Vestfossen
29 Sept
Ostsiden
2 : 2
Selbak
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Sparta Sarpsborg

(Away)
22 Aug
Sparta Sarpsborg
0 : 2
Sarpsborg 08
01 May
Sparta Sarpsborg
0 : 9
Fredrikstad
22 Oct
Sparta Sarpsborg
3 : 7
Sarpsborg FK
15 Oct
Nordstrand
3 : 2
Sparta Sarpsborg
08 Oct
Sparta Sarpsborg
1 : 4
Drobak-Frogn
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