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Selfoss vs Haukar

Iceland Iceland

Division 2
Our Tip

Match Events

41' Event
Thorsteinsson S.
56' Event
Sverrisson E.
74' Event
Paponja I.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Division 2 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Selfoss
15%
Draws
51%
Haukar
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Haukar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Haukar have won more games recently than Selfoss.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Division 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 88%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 88%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.8%
Selfoss Clean Sheet 10%
Haukar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Selfoss Haukar
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 14 19
Draws 6 3
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 2.31 2.16
Goals Conceded 1.72 1.58
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 26, 2026 Division 2
Selfoss vs Haukar
2:2
Apr 18, 2025 Icelandic Cup
Selfoss vs Haukar
4:0
Aug 26, 2024 Division 2
Haukar vs Selfoss
1:2
Aug 6, 2024 Fotbolti.net Cup
Selfoss vs Haukar
3:2
Jun 24, 2024 Division 2
Selfoss vs Haukar
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Selfoss Compare

Top Goalscorer Sverrisson E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Paponja I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Haukar Compare

Top Goalscorer Thorsteinsson S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sigurjonsson O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Selfoss 29 / 100
Haukar 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Selfoss Haukar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Selfoss Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Selfoss found the back of the net in 93% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Haukar conceded in 81% of 31 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.

Selfoss has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Selfoss VS Haukar
2.88 Goals Scored 2.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Selfoss

(Home)
19 Aug
Selfoss
2 : 2
Kari
15 Aug
Selfoss
6 : 2
Fjolnir
10 Aug
Olafsvik
2 : 0
Selfoss
04 Aug
Selfoss
4 : 0
Ymir
29 Jul
Selfoss
2 : 1
Dalvik/Reynir
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Haukar

(Away)
19 Aug
Kormakur/Hvot
1 : 2
Haukar
14 Aug
Haukar
3 : 1
Hviti
08 Aug
KFA
1 : 2
Haukar
04 Aug
Haukar
3 : 2
Reynir
29 Jul
Haukar
2 : 1
KFG Gardabaer
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Haukar 18 13 2 3 45:23 41
2 Selfoss 18 9 6 3 42:33 33
3 Kari 18 7 9 2 47:29 30
4 Olafsvik 18 8 4 6 26:30 28
5 Fjolnir 18 7 4 7 43:40 25
6 Kormakur/Hvot 18 6 6 6 35:26 24
7 KFA 18 7 2 9 40:36 23
8 Dalvik/Reynir 18 6 4 8 26:29 22
9 Magni 18 6 4 8 31:43 22
10 Throttur Vogar 18 6 1 11 29:35 19
11 Hviti 18 3 7 8 21:37 16
12 KFG Gardabaer 18 5 1 12 29:53 16
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