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Sellana vs AE Iraklis Larissa Prediction & H2H Stats

Greece Greece

Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 2020/2021
Sun, Jan 31, 2021
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sellana host AE Iraklis Larissa in the Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 2020/2021. Little to choose between these two on current form. Sellana have averaged 1.07 scored and 1.07 conceded recently, against AE Iraklis Larissa's 0.88 scored and 1.28 conceded. Head-to-head, Sellana have won 2 to AE Iraklis Larissa's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Jan 31, 2021, ending 0:0. The numbers (1.48 xG vs 0.99) point toward Sellana. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Sellana
20%
Draws
16%
AE Iraklis Larissa
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sellana

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Sellana haven't matched AE Iraklis Larissa's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Sellana a 64% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 2020/2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 58.2%
Sellana Clean Sheet 20%
AE Iraklis Larissa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sellana AE Iraklis Larissa
Matches Played 14 32
Wins 5 10
Draws 1 7
Losses 8 15
Goals Scored 1.07 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 0.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 31, 2021 Gamma Ethniki - Group 3
Sellana vs AE Iraklis Larissa
0:0
Oct 25, 2020 Gamma Ethniki - Group 3
AE Iraklis Larissa vs Sellana
3:0
Jan 19, 2020 Gamma Ethniki - Group 3
Sellana vs AE Iraklis Larissa
1:0
Oct 6, 2019 Gamma Ethniki - Group 3
AE Iraklis Larissa vs Sellana
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sellana 85 / 100
AE Iraklis Larissa 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sellana AE Iraklis Larissa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sellana Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: AE Iraklis Larissa has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Sellana found the back of the net in 50% of recent matches (14 games).

AE Iraklis Larissa let in goals in 56% of their last 32 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS AE Iraklis Larissa
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.75
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Sellana

(Home)
06 Jun
Kozani FC
1 : 0
Sellana
30 May
Sellana
5 : 0
Dias Diou FC
23 May
Sellana
0 : 1
Ethnikos Neou
16 May
Atromitos Palamas
1 : 0
Sellana
12 May
Oikonomos
2 : 2
Sellana
Page 1 of 3

AE Iraklis Larissa

(Away)
04 Oct
AE Iraklis Larissa
0 : 1
AO Trikala
26 Sept
Pierikos
3 : 1
AE Iraklis Larissa
17 Jun
Veria
3 : 0
AE Iraklis Larissa
10 Jun
AE Iraklis Larissa
0 : 0
Makedonikos Neapolis
03 Jun
Panathinaikos B
3 : 1
AE Iraklis Larissa
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Karditsa 14 12 2 0 40:5 38
2 Karitsa 14 11 2 1 28:7 35
3 Ethnikos Neou 14 8 1 5 16:17 25
4 Aetos Makrychoriou 14 7 3 4 24:11 24
5 Kozani FC 14 6 5 3 17:15 23
6 Atromitos Palamas 14 6 4 4 17:14 22
7 AE Iraklis Larissa 14 6 2 6 23:15 20
8 Fikis 14 6 2 6 22:17 20
9 Elassona 14 5 4 5 16:16 19
10 Sellana 14 5 1 8 15:15 16
11 Dias Diou FC 14 3 4 7 11:23 13
12 Ermis Amyntaio 14 3 3 8 12:36 12
13 Meteora 14 2 4 8 11:24 10
14 Oikonomos 14 2 3 9 14:29 9
15 Makedonikos Foufas 14 3 0 11 12:34 9
Promotion - Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 2020/2021 (Promotion - Play Offs)