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Sellana vs Aetos Makrychoriou

Greece Greece

Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 2020/2021
Sun, Feb 28, 2021
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sellana host Aetos Makrychoriou in the Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 2020/2021. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Sellana have averaged 1.07 scored and 1.07 conceded recently, against Aetos Makrychoriou's 0.53 scored and 2.5 conceded. Head-to-head, Sellana have won 0 to Aetos Makrychoriou's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Apr 28, 2021, ending 3:1. Model xG sits at 2.04 vs 0.61, favoring Sellana. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Sellana
15%
Draws
0%
Aetos Makrychoriou
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sellana

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sellana come out ahead of Aetos Makrychoriou on wins alone.
  • Model gives Sellana a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 2020/2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 59.8%
Sellana Clean Sheet 20%
Aetos Makrychoriou Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sellana Aetos Makrychoriou
Matches Played 14 30
Wins 5 3
Draws 1 3
Losses 8 24
Goals Scored 1.07 0.53
Goals Conceded 1.07 2.5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.04 0.61
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 28, 2021 Gamma Ethniki - Group 3
Aetos Makrychoriou vs Sellana
3:1
Feb 28, 2021 Gamma Ethniki - Group 3
Sellana vs Aetos Makrychoriou
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sellana 85 / 100
Aetos Makrychoriou 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sellana Aetos Makrychoriou

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sellana Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aetos Makrychoriou let in goals in 97% of their last 30 matches.

Aetos Makrychoriou lost 5 of their last 5 games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Sellana scored in 50% of their last 14 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Aetos Makrychoriou
0 Goals Scored 0.13
0 Goals Conceded 2.88
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 100%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Sellana

(Home)
06 Jun
Kozani FC
1 : 0
Sellana
30 May
Sellana
5 : 0
Dias Diou FC
23 May
Sellana
0 : 1
Ethnikos Neou
16 May
Atromitos Palamas
1 : 0
Sellana
12 May
Oikonomos
2 : 2
Sellana
Page 1 of 3

Aetos Makrychoriou

(Away)
03 Apr
Aetos Makrychoriou
0 : 3
Atalanti
27 Mar
Atromitos Palamas
3 : 0
Aetos Makrychoriou
20 Mar
Aetos Makrychoriou
0 : 3
AE Iraklis Larissa
13 Mar
Ipato
3 : 0
Aetos Makrychoriou
05 Mar
Aetos Makrychoriou
0 : 3
Amvrysseas
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Karditsa 14 12 2 0 40:5 38
2 Karitsa 14 11 2 1 28:7 35
3 Ethnikos Neou 14 8 1 5 16:17 25
4 Aetos Makrychoriou 14 7 3 4 24:11 24
5 Kozani FC 14 6 5 3 17:15 23
6 Atromitos Palamas 14 6 4 4 17:14 22
7 AE Iraklis Larissa 14 6 2 6 23:15 20
8 Fikis 14 6 2 6 22:17 20
9 Elassona 14 5 4 5 16:16 19
10 Sellana 14 5 1 8 15:15 16
11 Dias Diou FC 14 3 4 7 11:23 13
12 Ermis Amyntaio 14 3 3 8 12:36 12
13 Meteora 14 2 4 8 11:24 10
14 Oikonomos 14 2 3 9 14:29 9
15 Makedonikos Foufas 14 3 0 11 12:34 9
Promotion - Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 2020/2021 (Promotion - Play Offs)