Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Semen Padang vs Java United

Indonesia Indonesia

Super League 2025/2026 Stadion GOR Haji Agus Salim, Padang
Our Tip

Match Events

18'
Sub
Wakaso A. In: Wahyudi R.
Out: Wakaso A.
21' Event
Tyronne
Assist: da Silva D.
39'
Simanjuntak S.

AI Match Summary

The Super League 2025/2026 game between Semen Padang and Java United finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Semen Padang
15%
Draws
85%
Java United
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Java United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Java United carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Java United's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Super League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Semen Padang Clean Sheet 10%
Java United Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Semen Padang Java United
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 4 14
Draws 4 6
Losses 22 9
Goals Scored 0.6 2.07
Goals Conceded 2 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 20, 2026 Super League
Semen Padang vs Java United
2:2
Oct 26, 2025 Super League
Java United vs Semen Padang
1:0
Feb 2, 2025 Super League
Semen Padang vs Java United
1:1
Sep 13, 2024 Super League
Java United vs Semen Padang
2:1
Feb 29, 2024 Championship
Semen Padang vs Java United
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Semen Padang Compare

Top Goalscorer Froese K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Maicon Souza
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Java United Compare

Top Goalscorer Tyronne
1 Goals
Assists Leader Nilson Junior
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Semen Padang 10 / 100
Java United 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Semen Padang Java United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Java United Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Java United conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Semen Padang found the back of the net in 40% of recent matches (30 games).

Away concern: Java United has suffered 2 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Semen Padang VS Java United
0.38 Goals Scored 2
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Semen Padang

(Home)
23 May
Persija Jakarta
3 : 0
Semen Padang
15 May
Semen Padang
0 : 7
Persebaya
08 May
Semen Padang
0 : 3
Persik Kediri
03 May
Dewa United
1 : 0
Semen Padang
29 Apr
Semen Padang
0 : 1
Madura United
Page 1 of 6

Java United

(Away)
23 May
Borneo
7 : 1
Java United
16 May
Java United
1 : 1
Persita
10 May
PSIM Yogyakarta
2 : 0
Java United
02 May
Java United
5 : 2
Persis Solo
28 Apr
PSBS Biak Numfor
0 : 7
Java United
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Persib Bandung 34 24 7 3 59:22 79
2 Borneo 34 25 4 5 74:31 79
3 Persija Jakarta 34 22 5 7 65:29 71
4 Persebaya 34 16 10 8 61:35 58
5 FC Bhayangkara 34 16 5 13 53:45 53
6 Java United 34 15 8 11 68:53 53
7 Dewa United 34 16 5 13 44:37 53
8 Bali United 34 14 9 11 57:48 51
9 Arema FC 34 13 9 12 53:47 48
10 Persita 34 13 6 15 38:37 45
11 PSIM Yogyakarta 34 11 12 11 43:44 45
12 Persik Kediri 34 11 6 17 42:61 39
13 Persijap Jepara 34 9 9 16 31:45 36
14 Madura United 34 9 8 17 37:54 35
15 PSM Makassar 34 8 10 16 39:49 34
16 Persis Solo 34 8 10 16 39:59 34
17 Semen Padang 34 5 5 24 22:65 20
18 PSBS Biak Numfor 34 4 6 24 31:95 18
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Qualification)
Promotion - AFC Challenge League (Qualification)