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Semen Padang vs PSIS Semarang Prediction & H2H Stats

Indonesia Indonesia

Championship Stadion GOR Haji Agus Salim, Padang
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Cukovic I.
Assist: Lilipaly S.
'
46'
Sub
Rafinha In: Sabda L.
Out: Rafinha

AI Match Summary

The Championship game between Semen Padang and PSIS Semarang finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Semen Padang
30%
Draws
37%
PSIS Semarang
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: PSIS Semarang

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • PSIS Semarang carry the better recent record into this one.
  • PSIS Semarang are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Championship fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Semen Padang Clean Sheet 11%
PSIS Semarang Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Semen Padang PSIS Semarang
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 6 7
Draws 5 7
Losses 18 14
Goals Scored 0.72 0.96
Goals Conceded 1.86 1.71
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Championship
Semen Padang vs PSIS Semarang
1:1
Apr 17, 2025 Super League
Semen Padang vs PSIS Semarang
3:2
Dec 1, 2024 Super League
PSIS Semarang vs Semen Padang
1:0
Dec 13, 2019 Super League
PSIS Semarang vs Semen Padang
2:0
Aug 16, 2019 Super League
Semen Padang vs PSIS Semarang
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Semen Padang Compare

Top Goalscorer Cukovic I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.53
Avg xA / game 0.34

PSIS Semarang Compare

Top Goalscorer Hari Nur
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Semen Padang 10 / 100
PSIS Semarang 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Semen Padang PSIS Semarang

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PSIS Semarang Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: PSIS Semarang conceded in 79% of 28 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Recent resilience: Semen Padang stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Semen Padang found the back of the net in 48% of recent matches (29 games).

Scoring Trends

Semen Padang VS PSIS Semarang
0.13 Goals Scored 0.88
2.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Semen Padang

(Home)
26 Sept
PSGC Ciamis
0 : 2
Semen Padang
20 Sept
Semen Padang
1 : 1
PSIS Semarang
13 Sept
Persiraja Aceh
0 : 1
Semen Padang
23 May
Persija Jakarta
3 : 0
Semen Padang
15 May
Semen Padang
0 : 7
Persebaya
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PSIS Semarang

(Away)
20 Sept
Semen Padang
1 : 1
PSIS Semarang
11 Sept
PSIS Semarang
2 : 1
PSPS Riau
19 Jul
Persebaya
2 : 2
PSIS Semarang
03 May
PSS Sleman
3 : 0
PSIS Semarang
25 Apr
PSIS Semarang
1 : 0
Tornado Pekanbaru
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Persikad Depok 3 3 0 0 6:3 9
2 PSMS Medan 3 2 1 0 9:2 7
3 Semen Padang 3 2 1 0 4:1 6
4 PSPS Riau 3 2 0 1 5:4 6
5 PSIS Semarang 2 1 1 0 3:2 3
6 PSGC Ciamis 3 1 0 2 3:4 3
7 Bekasi City 3 0 1 2 2:4 1
8 Sumsel United 3 0 1 2 3:6 0
9 Persiraja Aceh 3 0 0 3 2:5 -1
10 Persiku Kudus 2 0 1 1 1:7 -1
Promotion - Super League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Championship (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Championship (Relegation - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Deltras Sidoarjo 3 3 0 0 10:3 9
2 Persela Lamongan 3 3 0 0 9:0 8
3 Persis Solo 3 1 1 1 8:3 4
4 Tornado Pekanbaru 3 1 2 0 3:2 4
5 PS Barito Putera 3 1 1 1 7:7 4
6 RANS Nusantara 3 1 1 1 7:7 4
7 Dejan 3 1 1 1 4:4 4
8 Persipura Jayapura 3 0 2 1 3:4 1
9 Balikpapan 3 0 0 3 2:5 -4
10 PSBS Biak Numfor 3 0 0 3 0:18 -4
Promotion - Super League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Championship (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Championship (Relegation - Play Offs)