Sport Picks
Semen Padang vs PSPS Riau - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Indonesia
Championship Stadion GOR Haji Agus Salim, Padang 
Match Events
21'
21'
Riski J.
56'
56'
Kusuma R.
63'
63'
Sub
Riski J. In: Siringo N.
Out: Riski J.
AI Match Summary
PSPS Riau in this Championship matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored PSPS Riau.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
37%
15%
48%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: PSPS Riau
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
15%
/ Low Confidence
- PSPS Riau have won more games recently than Semen Padang.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
- European nights carry their own weight — this Championship fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Semen Padang Clean Sheet 10%
PSPS Riau Clean Sheet 20%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Semen Padang | PSPS Riau |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 33 |
| Wins | 6 | 15 |
| Draws | 5 | 8 |
| Losses | 18 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 0.72 | 1.82 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.86 | 1.33 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.56 | 1.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 4, 2026 Championship
Semen Padang vs PSPS Riau
0:1
Nov 17, 2023 Championship
Semen Padang vs PSPS Riau
1:1
Sep 25, 2023 Championship
PSPS Riau vs Semen Padang
0:2
Nov 4, 2022 Championship
Semen Padang vs PSPS Riau
0:0
Aug 29, 2022 Championship
PSPS Riau vs Semen Padang
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Semen Padang Compare
Avg xG / game 0.43
Avg xA / game 0.28
PSPS Riau Compare
Top Goalscorer Wicaksono D.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Semen Padang 30 / 100
PSPS Riau 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Semen Padang PSPS Riau
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
PSPS Riau's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 33 matches.
Semen Padang went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Semen Padang scored in 48% of their last 29 games.
Historical meetings average 1.40 goals per match.
Scoring Trends
Semen Padang VS PSPS Riau
0.13 Goals Scored 1.25
2.5 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Semen Padang
(Home) 04 Oct
Semen Padang
0 : 1 PSPS Riau
26 Sept
PSGC Ciamis
0 : 2 Semen Padang
20 Sept
Semen Padang
1 : 1 PSIS Semarang
13 Sept
Persiraja Aceh
0 : 1 Semen Padang
23 May
Persija Jakarta
3 : 0 Semen Padang
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Semen Padang
0 : 1 PSPS Riau
20 Sept
Semen Padang
1 : 1 PSIS Semarang
15 May
Semen Padang
0 : 7 Persebaya
08 May
Semen Padang
0 : 3 Persik Kediri
29 Apr
Semen Padang
0 : 1 Madura United
Page 1 of 3
PSPS Riau
(Away) 04 Oct
Semen Padang
0 : 1 PSPS Riau
26 Sept
Sumsel United
1 : 2 PSPS Riau
19 Sept
PSPS Riau
2 : 1 Persiraja Aceh
11 Sept
PSIS Semarang
2 : 1 PSPS Riau
29 Aug
Persela Lamongan
1 : 0 PSPS Riau
Page 1 of 7
04 Oct
Semen Padang
0 : 1 PSPS Riau
26 Sept
Sumsel United
1 : 2 PSPS Riau
11 Sept
PSIS Semarang
2 : 1 PSPS Riau
29 Aug
Persela Lamongan
1 : 0 PSPS Riau
02 May
Bekasi City
3 : 2 PSPS Riau
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PSMS Medan | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 13:2 | 10 |
| 2 | PSIS Semarang | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8:5 | 9 |
| 3 | Persikad Depok | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6:7 | 9 |
| 4 | PSPS Riau | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6:4 | 9 |
| 5 | Semen Padang | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4:2 | 6 |
| 6 | PSGC Ciamis | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5:5 | 6 |
| 7 | Sumsel United | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:7 | 3 |
| 8 | Persiraja Aceh | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6:8 | 2 |
| 9 | Bekasi City | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2:5 | 1 |
| 10 | Persiku Kudus | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2:12 | -1 |
Promotion - Super League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Championship (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Championship (Relegation - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deltras Sidoarjo | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 12:3 | 12 |
| 2 | Persela Lamongan | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10:0 | 11 |
| 3 | RANS Nusantara | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 15:9 | 10 |
| 4 | Tornado Pekanbaru | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5:2 | 7 |
| 5 | Persipura Jayapura | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7:8 | 4 |
| 6 | PS Barito Putera | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7:8 | 4 |
| 7 | Persis Solo | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8:5 | 4 |
| 8 | Dejan | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:7 | 4 |
| 9 | Balikpapan | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2:7 | -4 |
| 10 | PSBS Biak Numfor | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1:23 | -4 |
Promotion - Super League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Championship (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Championship (Relegation - Play Offs)
