Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Senador Guiomard vs Placido de Castro

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Acreano 2009
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Senador Guiomard in this Campeonato Acreano 2009 matchup, with the score ending 4-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Senador Guiomard.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Senador Guiomard
6%
Draws
4%
Placido de Castro
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Senador Guiomard

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Senador Guiomard average 1.13 goals a game right now, well clear of Placido de Castro's 0.63.
  • Model gives Senador Guiomard a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Senador Guiomard Clean Sheet 20%
Placido de Castro Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Senador Guiomard Placido de Castro
Matches Played 33 38
Wins 10 10
Draws 10 6
Losses 13 22
Goals Scored 1.13 0.63
Goals Conceded 1.25 3.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 3.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 1, 2025 Acreano
Senador Guiomard vs Placido de Castro
6:2
Apr 4, 2023 Acreano
Placido de Castro vs Senador Guiomard
6:1
Mar 8, 2022 Acreano
Placido de Castro vs Senador Guiomard
2:2
May 8, 2011 Acreano
Placido de Castro vs Senador Guiomard
0:2
Apr 16, 2011 Acreano
Senador Guiomard vs Placido de Castro
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Senador Guiomard 85 / 100
Placido de Castro 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Senador Guiomard Placido de Castro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SEN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

Senador Guiomard's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Defensive concern: Placido de Castro conceded in 79% of 38 recent games.

Placido de Castro lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Senador Guiomard VS Placido de Castro
1.13 Goals Scored 0.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 3.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Senador Guiomard

(Home)
07 Mar
Santa Cruz AC
3 : 2
Senador Guiomard
02 Mar
Senador Guiomard
0 : 2
Independencia Futebol Clube
11 Feb
Senador Guiomard
0 : 2
Rio Branco AC
05 Feb
Sao Francisco FC (AC)
0 : 2
Senador Guiomard
31 Jan
Senador Guiomard
1 : 1
Galvez
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Placido de Castro

(Away)
11 Sept
Atletico Acreano
7 : 0
Placido de Castro
04 Sept
Sao Francisco FC (AC)
3 : 0
Placido de Castro
26 Aug
Placido de Castro
0 : 8
Santa Cruz AC
21 Aug
Placido de Castro
1 : 0
Nauas EC
16 Aug
Placido de Castro
1 : 3
Andira
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League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Rio Branco AC550020:615
2Acreano541012:813
3Vasco da Gama AC531113:1510
4Independencia Futebol Clube51229:115
5Placido de Castro50145:131
Promotion - Campeonato Acreano 2009 (Second stage - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Juventus RS522115:88
2Nauas EC521211:127
3Andira51139:124
4Sao Francisco FC (AC)51139:144
5Senador Guiomard51049:133
Promotion - Campeonato Acreano 2009 (Second stage - Play Offs)