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Senador Guiomard vs Placido de Castro

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Acreano 2011
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AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Acreano 2011 game between Senador Guiomard and Placido de Castro finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Placido de Castro.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Senador Guiomard
6%
Draws
4%
Placido de Castro
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Senador Guiomard

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Senador Guiomard's 1.13 goals per match outpaces what Placido de Castro have produced (0.63).
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Senador Guiomard taking it.
  • Regular Campeonato Acreano 2011 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Senador Guiomard Clean Sheet 20%
Placido de Castro Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Senador Guiomard Placido de Castro
Matches Played 33 38
Wins 10 10
Draws 10 6
Losses 13 22
Goals Scored 1.13 0.63
Goals Conceded 1.25 3.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 3.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 1, 2025 Acreano
Senador Guiomard vs Placido de Castro
6:2
Apr 4, 2023 Acreano
Placido de Castro vs Senador Guiomard
6:1
Mar 8, 2022 Acreano
Placido de Castro vs Senador Guiomard
2:2
May 8, 2011 Acreano
Placido de Castro vs Senador Guiomard
0:2
Apr 16, 2011 Acreano
Senador Guiomard vs Placido de Castro
1:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Senador Guiomard 85 / 100
Placido de Castro 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Senador Guiomard Placido de Castro

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SEN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Senador Guiomard scored in 70% of their last 33 games.

Placido de Castro's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 38 matches.

Difficult form: Placido de Castro registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Senador Guiomard VS Placido de Castro
1.13 Goals Scored 0.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 3.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Juventus RS14103137:1433
2Acreano14110335:1433
3Rio Branco AC1491433:1928
4Placido de Castro1461723:1519
5Nauas EC1444618:2616
6Senador Guiomard1443716:3115
7Alto Acre1433813:2512
8Independencia Futebol Clube14111213:444