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Senador Guiomard vs SC Humaita

Brazil Brazil

Acreano
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Diguda
57' Event
Eduardo Lopes
85'
Carlao

AI Match Summary

Senador Guiomard host SC Humaita in the Acreano. Little to choose between these two on current form. SC Humaita have shipped 1.63 goals a game lately, while Senador Guiomard have conceded 1.75 and scored 1. Head-to-head, Senador Guiomard have won 0 to SC Humaita's 2, with 2 draws. They last met on Jan 17, 2026, ending 1:1. The numbers (1.31 xG vs 1.56) point toward Senador Guiomard. Senador Guiomard in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Senador Guiomard
6%
Draws
4%
SC Humaita
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Senador Guiomard

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Senador Guiomard has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to SC Humaita.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Senador Guiomard.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Acreano provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Senador Guiomard Clean Sheet 68%
SC Humaita Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Senador Guiomard SC Humaita
Matches Played 30 35
Wins 9 8
Draws 9 7
Losses 12 20
Goals Scored 1 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 17, 2026 Acreano
Senador Guiomard vs SC Humaita
1:1
Jan 27, 2025 Acreano
SC Humaita vs Senador Guiomard
1:1
Apr 11, 2023 Acreano
Senador Guiomard vs SC Humaita
0:1
Apr 9, 2022 Acreano
SC Humaita vs Senador Guiomard
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Senador Guiomard Compare

Top Goalscorer Eduardo Lopes
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

SC Humaita Compare

Top Goalscorer Diguda
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Senador Guiomard 95 / 100
SC Humaita 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Senador Guiomard SC Humaita

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SEN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Senador Guiomard scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

SC Humaita let in goals in 77% of their last 35 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Senador Guiomard went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

SC Humaita lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Senador Guiomard VS SC Humaita
1 Goals Scored 1.38
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Galvez751115:616
2SC Humaita743015:315
3Santa Cruz AC741215:713
4Rio Branco AC741214:913
5Independencia Futebol Clube72149:117
6Senador Guiomard71247:125
7Sao Francisco FC (AC)71154:264
8Vasco da Gama AC712410:15-1