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Senart-Moissy vs Auxerre II

France France

CFA - Group A 2011/2012
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AI Match Summary

Auxerre II in this CFA - Group A 2011/2012 matchup, with the score ending 2-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Auxerre II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Senart-Moissy
20%
Draws
60%
Auxerre II
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Auxerre II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

60% / High Confidence
  • Auxerre II have won more games recently than Senart-Moissy.
  • 60% — that's where the model lands on Auxerre II taking it.
  • Regular CFA - Group A 2011/2012 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Auxerre II have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Senart-Moissy Clean Sheet 20%
Auxerre II Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Senart-Moissy Auxerre II
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 4 10
Draws 11 9
Losses 15 13
Goals Scored 0.67 1.22
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.22
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 28, 2012 National 1 - Group A
Senart-Moissy vs Auxerre II
2:4
Dec 4, 2011 National 1 - Group A
Auxerre II vs Senart-Moissy
1:1
Apr 17, 2010 National 2 - Group D
Senart-Moissy vs Auxerre II
0:2
Nov 11, 2009 National 2 - Group D
Auxerre II vs Senart-Moissy
1:0
Mar 29, 2009 National 1 - Group A
Auxerre II vs Senart-Moissy
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Senart-Moissy 20 / 100
Auxerre II 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Senart-Moissy Auxerre II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Auxerre II Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Senart-Moissy's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Auxerre II has conceded goals in 66% of their last 32 outings.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Auxerre II's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Auxerre II
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Senart-Moissy

(Home)
14 Nov
Panazol
2 : 1
Senart-Moissy
07 Feb
JA Drancy
2 : 0
Senart-Moissy
12 Nov
Les Sables
4 : 1
Senart-Moissy
02 Jun
Senart-Moissy
0 : 0
Villemomble
23 May
Calvi
1 : 1
Senart-Moissy
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Auxerre II

(Away)
18 May
Colmar
1 : 0
Auxerre II
11 May
Auxerre II
2 : 0
Bourg Peronnas
27 Apr
Furiani Agliani
2 : 0
Auxerre II
20 Apr
Auxerre II
5 : 0
St Quentin
13 Apr
Fleury-Merogis
3 : 1
Auxerre II
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Borgo 34 20 7 7 53:33 101
2 Aubervilliers 34 19 7 8 53:34 98
3 Dunkerque 34 17 12 5 50:31 97
4 Auxerre II 34 19 5 10 60:36 96
5 JA Drancy 34 15 10 9 35:32 88
6 Lens II 34 13 11 10 48:39 84
7 Calvi 34 13 11 10 58:51 84
8 Amiens AC 34 14 8 12 41:40 84
9 Ivry 34 14 7 13 50:40 83
10 Lille II 34 13 10 11 44:42 82
11 Compiegne 34 12 7 15 44:52 77
12 Poissy 34 7 17 10 43:47 72
13 Valenciennes II 34 11 5 18 44:52 72
14 PSG II 34 8 11 15 32:38 69
15 Alfortville 34 7 11 16 36:55 66
16 Senart-Moissy 34 6 13 15 22:45 65
17 Villemomble 34 6 12 16 24:47 64
18 Avion 34 5 10 19 34:57 59
Promotion - National 2012/2013 (Main)