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Senart-Moissy vs Ivry

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CFA - Group A 2011/2012
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AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this CFA - Group A 2011/2012 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Senart-Moissy
17%
Draws
70%
Ivry
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Ivry

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ivry lately — more wins on the board than Senart-Moissy.
  • 70% — that's where the model lands on Ivry taking it.
  • Regular CFA - Group A 2011/2012 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 23%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Senart-Moissy Clean Sheet 20%
Ivry Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Senart-Moissy Ivry
Matches Played 30 38
Wins 4 11
Draws 11 14
Losses 15 13
Goals Scored 0.67 1.25
Goals Conceded 2.67 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.67 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.67 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 31, 2012 National 1 - Group A
Senart-Moissy vs Ivry
1:1
Oct 22, 2011 National 1 - Group A
Ivry vs Senart-Moissy
4:0
May 29, 2010 National 2 - Group D
Senart-Moissy vs Ivry
2:2
Aug 8, 2009 National 2 - Group D
Ivry vs Senart-Moissy
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Senart-Moissy 16 / 100
Ivry 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Senart-Moissy Ivry

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick IVR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.25 goals as a typical output.

Senart-Moissy found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).

Ivry has conceded goals in 76% of their last 38 outings.

Senart-Moissy has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Senart-Moissy VS Ivry
0.67 Goals Scored 1.25
2.67 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
67% Over 2.5 25%
33% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Senart-Moissy

(Home)
14 Nov
Panazol
2 : 1
Senart-Moissy
07 Feb
JA Drancy
2 : 0
Senart-Moissy
12 Nov
Les Sables
4 : 1
Senart-Moissy
02 Jun
Senart-Moissy
0 : 0
Villemomble
23 May
Calvi
1 : 1
Senart-Moissy
Page 1 of 6

Ivry

(Away)
15 Nov
Ivry
1 : 2
Le Mans
23 May
Ivry
3 : 0
PSG II
16 May
Quevilly
0 : 1
Ivry
09 May
Ivry
2 : 2
Lens II
02 May
Lille II
1 : 2
Ivry
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Borgo34207753:33101
2Aubervilliers34197853:3498
3Dunkerque341712550:3197
4Auxerre II341951060:3696
5JA Drancy341510935:3288
6Lens II3413111048:3984
7Calvi3413111058:5184
8Amiens AC341481241:4084
9Ivry341471350:4083
10Lille II3413101144:4282
11Compiegne341271544:5277
12Poissy347171043:4772
13Valenciennes II341151844:5272
14PSG II348111532:3869
15Alfortville347111636:5566
16Senart-Moissy346131522:4565
17Villemomble346121624:4764
18Avion345101934:5759
Promotion - National 2012/2013 (Main)