Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Senegal U17 vs Gambia U17

Africa Africa

Africa Cup of Nations U17 2025 Ben M'Hamed El Abdi Stadium, El Jadida
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Sow I.
44'
Bah A.
52'
Sub
Bah A. In: Njundu A.
Out: Bah A.

AI Match Summary

Senegal U17 in this Africa Cup of Nations U17 2025 tie, finishing 1-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

71%
Senegal U17
15%
Draws
14%
Gambia U17
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Senegal U17

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Senegal U17 lately — more wins on the board than Gambia U17.
  • Win probability leans Senegal U17's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Senegal U17 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Senegal U17, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Senegal U17 Clean Sheet 20%
Gambia U17 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Senegal U17 Gambia U17
Matches Played 30 24
Wins 20 11
Draws 3 1
Losses 7 12
Goals Scored 1.7 1.5
Goals Conceded 0.63 1.46
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 1, 2025 Africa Cup of Nations U17
Senegal U17 vs Gambia U17
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Senegal U17 Compare

Top Goalscorer Sow I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Gambia U17 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Senegal U17 49 / 100
Gambia U17 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Senegal U17 Gambia U17

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Senegal U17 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Senegal U17 stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Senegal U17 scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Gambia U17 has conceded goals in 75% of their last 24 outings.

Difficult form: Gambia U17 registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Senegal U17 VS Gambia U17
1.13 Goals Scored 1.75
0.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
25% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Senegal U17

(Home)
02 Jun
Senegal U17
2 : 1
Tanzania U17
28 May
Morocco U17
1 : 2
Senegal U17
24 May
Senegal U17
2 : 1
Mali U17
20 May
Senegal U17
2 : 1
Algeria U17
17 May
Ghana U17
0 : 1
Senegal U17
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Gambia U17

(Away)
12 Apr
Uganda U17
2 : 1
Gambia U17
07 Apr
Gambia U17
1 : 2
Tunisia U17
04 Apr
Gambia U17
5 : 1
Somalia U17
01 Apr
Senegal U17
1 : 0
Gambia U17
26 Oct
Ghana U17
3 : 0
Gambia U17
Page 1 of 5

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Morocco U17 3 2 1 0 8:0 7
2 Zambia U17 3 2 1 0 6:2 7
3 Uganda U17 3 1 0 2 4:7 3
4 Tanzania U17 3 0 0 3 1:10 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations U17 2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations U17 2025 (World Cup - Promotion)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Burkina Faso U17 3 3 0 0 6:2 9
2 South Africa U17 3 1 1 1 4:5 4
3 Egypt U17 3 1 0 2 6:7 3
4 Cameroon U17 3 0 1 2 2:4 1
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations U17 2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations U17 2025 (World Cup - Promotion)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tunisia U17 3 2 1 0 5:1 7
2 Senegal U17 3 2 1 0 3:0 7
3 Gambia U17 3 1 0 2 6:4 3
4 Somalia U17 3 0 0 3 1:10 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations U17 2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations U17 2025 (World Cup - Promotion)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ivory Coast U17 3 2 1 0 10:3 7
2 Mali U17 3 2 0 1 6:5 6
3 Angola U17 3 1 1 1 7:3 4
4 Central Africa U17 3 0 0 3 2:14 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations U17 2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations U17 2025 (World Cup - Promotion)