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Senegal U23 vs South Sudan U23 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Africa Africa

Africa Cup of Nations U23
Tue, Nov 17, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Africa Cup of Nations U23. Don't expect fireworks — both sides lean defensive. Recent numbers: Senegal U23 at 1.1 goals for, 0.86 against; South Sudan U23 at 1 for, 0.9 against. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. The numbers (0.94 xG vs 0.88) point toward Senegal U23. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Senegal U23
20%
Draws
32%
South Sudan U23
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Senegal U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Senegal U23 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 48% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Senegal U23 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • These two have never met before — a fresh matchup with no historical pattern to lean on.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.6%
Senegal U23 Clean Sheet 20%
South Sudan U23 Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Senegal U23 South Sudan U23
Matches Played 29 10
Wins 13 3
Draws 7 3
Losses 9 4
Goals Scored 1.1 1
Goals Conceded 0.86 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Senegal U23 31 / 100
South Sudan U23 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Senegal U23 South Sudan U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Senegal U23 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Senegal U23 scored in 64% of their last 28 outings.

Recent resilience: Senegal U23 stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

South Sudan U23 has conceded goals in 50% of their last 10 outings.

Difficult form: South Sudan U23 registered 1 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Senegal U23 VS South Sudan U23
1 Goals Scored 1.13
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Senegal U23

(Home)
05 Oct
Senegal U23
2 : 1
Gambia U23
03 Oct
Senegal U23
3 : 1
Gambia U23
28 Mar
Mali U23
3 : 0
Senegal U23
22 Mar
Senegal U23
3 : 1
Mali U23
29 Oct
Senegal U23
1 : 0
Burkina Faso U23
Page 1 of 6

South Sudan U23

(Away)
04 Oct
South Sudan U23
1 : 2
Djibouti U23
30 Sept
Djibouti U23
0 : 3
South Sudan U23
26 Sept
South Sudan U23
3 : 3
Tanzania U23
23 Sept
Tanzania U23
0 : 0
South Sudan U23
29 Jul
South Sudan U23
1 : 0
Kenya U23
Page 1 of 2

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Burkina Faso U23 -
TBD -
TBD -
Zambia U23 -
Mauritania U23 1
D.R. Congo U23 2
TBD -
Nigeria U23 -
Equatorial Guinea U23 -
TBD -
TBD -
Niger U23 -
Togo U23 2
Libya U23 4
TBD -
Ghana U23 -
Tunisia U23 2
Benin U23 1
TBD -
Gabon U23 -
Kenya U23 5
Tanzania U23 4
TBD -
Ivory Coast U23 -
Djibouti U23 2
South Sudan U23 4
TBD -
Senegal U23 -
Ethiopia U23 -
TBD -
TBD -
Morocco U23 -
Rwanda U23 4
Sudan U23 1
TBD -
Cameroon U23 -
Madagascar U23 -
TBD -
TBD -
South Africa U23 -
Angola U23 6
Namibia U23 1
TBD -
Congo U23 -
Seychelles U23 2
Botswana U23 4
TBD -
Guinea U23 -
Malawi U23 1
Eswatini U23 2
TBD -
Algeria U23 -
Zimbabwe U23 6
Mauritius U23 1
TBD -
Mali U23 -
Semi-finals
Burkina Faso U23 -
Zambia U23 -
D.R. Congo U23 -
Nigeria U23 -
Equatorial Guinea U23 -
Niger U23 -
Libya U23 -
Ghana U23 -
Tunisia U23 -
Gabon U23 -
Kenya U23 -
Ivory Coast U23 -
South Sudan U23 -
Senegal U23 -
Ethiopia U23 -
Morocco U23 -
Rwanda U23 -
Cameroon U23 -
Madagascar U23 -
South Africa U23 -
Angola U23 -
Congo U23 -
Botswana U23 -
Guinea U23 -
Eswatini U23 -
Algeria U23 -
Zimbabwe U23 -
Mali U23 -
Final
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -