Sport Picks
Match Events
3'
3'
Ba O.
38'
38'
Ciss B.
90'
90'
Mbaye M.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 3-0. The second leg ended 3-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
57%
20%
23%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Senegal
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
57%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Senegal come out ahead of Liberia on wins alone.
- Win probability leans Senegal's way, sitting at 90%.
- Senegal have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Senegal, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Senegal Clean Sheet 68%
Liberia Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Senegal | Liberia |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 34 | 25 |
| Wins | 20 | 6 |
| Draws | 7 | 7 |
| Losses | 7 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.94 | 0.96 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.82 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.56 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Dec 28, 2024 African Nations Championship
Senegal vs Liberia
3:0
Dec 22, 2024 African Nations Championship
Liberia vs Senegal
1:1
Jul 30, 2022 African Nations Championship
Senegal vs Liberia
1:2
Jul 24, 2022 African Nations Championship
Liberia vs Senegal
0:3
Aug 3, 2019 African Nations Championship
Senegal vs Liberia
3:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Senegal Compare
Top Goalscorer Ba O.
1 Goals Assists Leader Ciss B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78
Liberia Compare
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Senegal 95 / 100
Liberia 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Senegal Liberia
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Senegal Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Senegal found the back of the net in 85% of recent matches (34 games).
Liberia has conceded goals in 92% of their last 25 outings.
H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.
Senegal has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Senegal VS Liberia
2.13 Goals Scored 0.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 38%
75% Over 2.5 38%
75% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Senegal
(Home) 04 Oct
Comoros
0 : 1 Senegal
29 Sept
Ethiopia
0 : 1 Senegal
25 Sept
Mozambique
1 : 1 Senegal
01 Jul
Belgium
3 : 2 Senegal
26 Jun
Senegal
5 : 0 Iraq
Page 1 of 7
26 Jun
Senegal
5 : 0 Iraq
31 Mar
Senegal
3 : 1 Gambia
28 Mar
Senegal
2 : 0 Peru
18 Jan
Senegal
0 : 3 Morocco
14 Jan
Senegal
1 : 0 Egypt
Page 1 of 3
Liberia
(Away) 29 Sept
Liberia
0 : 1 Mali
25 Sept
Rwanda
3 : 1 Liberia
09 Jun
Liberia
3 : 1 Sierra Leone
06 Jun
Sierra Leone
1 : 0 Liberia
31 Mar
Liberia
2 : 2 Libya
Page 1 of 5
25 Sept
Rwanda
3 : 1 Liberia
06 Jun
Sierra Leone
1 : 0 Liberia
27 Mar
Benin
1 : 0 Liberia
15 Nov
Guinea
2 : 0 Liberia
13 Oct
Equatorial Guinea
1 : 1 Liberia
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
Semi-finals
Sierra Leone 2
Liberia 3
TBD -
Senegal -
Mauritania -
TBD -
TBD -
Mali -
Guinea -
TBD -
TBD -
Guinea Bissau -
Togo 3
Benin 1
TBD -
Niger -
Ivory Coast -
TBD -
TBD -
Burkina Faso -
Ghana -
TBD -
TBD -
Nigeria -
Equatorial Guinea -
TBD -
TBD -
Congo -
Central Africa -
TBD -
TBD -
Cameroon -
Chad -
TBD -
TBD -
D.R. Congo -
Burundi 6
Somalia 0
TBD -
Uganda -
Ethiopia 6
Eritrea 0
Sudan 2
Tanzania 1
South Sudan 3
Kenya 1
Djibouti 1
Rwanda 3
Zimbabwe 0
Eswatini 4
TBD -
Madagascar -
Lesotho 2
Namibia 1
TBD -
Angola -
Mozambique -
TBD -
TBD -
Zambia -
Final
Liberia 1
Senegal 4
Mauritania 1
Mali 0
Guinea 6
Guinea Bissau 2
Togo 1
Niger 1
Ivory Coast 2
Burkina Faso 3
Ghana 1
Nigeria 3
Equatorial Guinea 1
Congo 2
Central Africa 2
Cameroon 2
Chad 2
D.R. Congo 4
Burundi 0
Uganda 2
Ethiopia 1
Sudan 4
South Sudan 4
Rwanda 4
Eswatini 1
Madagascar 2
Lesotho 1
Angola 2
Mozambique 0
Zambia 6
