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Senegal W vs Kenya W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Africa Africa

Africa Cup of Nations Women Stade Prince Moulay Hassan, Rabat
Senegal W Logo

Senegal W

1 - 0
FT
Kenya W Logo

Kenya W

Our Tip

Match Events

35' Event
Mbengue S.
Assist: Casset N.
40'
Sub
Nanjala V. In: Nekesa V.
Out: Nanjala V.
46'
Sub
Airo M. In: Serenge M.
Out: Airo M.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-0. The second leg ended 1-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Senegal W
15%
Draws
39%
Kenya W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Senegal W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Senegal W come out ahead of Kenya W on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Kenya W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Senegal W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Senegal W, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 21.6%
Senegal W Clean Sheet 21%
Kenya W Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Senegal W Kenya W
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 14 13
Draws 5 3
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 1.1 1.8
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 30, 2026 Africa Cup of Nations Women
Senegal W vs Kenya W
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Senegal W Compare

Top Goalscorer Mbengue S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Kenya W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Senegal W 10 / 100
Kenya W 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Senegal W Kenya W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kenya W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Senegal W scored in 63% of their last 27 games.

Kenya W has conceded goals in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Recent resilience: Senegal W stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Away concern: Kenya W has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Senegal W VS Kenya W
0.88 Goals Scored 0.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Senegal W

(Home)
08 Oct
Tunisia W
0 : 1
Senegal W
03 Aug
Senegal W
0 : 0
Morocco W
30 Jul
Senegal W
1 : 0
Kenya W
26 Jul
Algeria W
2 : 0
Senegal W
11 Jul
Egypt W
1 : 0
Senegal W
Page 1 of 6

Kenya W

(Away)
08 Oct
Seychelles W
0 : 11
Kenya W
03 Aug
Kenya W
0 : 2
Algeria W
30 Jul
Senegal W
1 : 0
Kenya W
26 Jul
Morocco W
4 : 0
Kenya W
09 Jun
Lesotho W
0 : 6
Kenya W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Morocco W 3 2 1 0 5:0 7
2 Algeria W 3 2 0 1 4:1 6
3 Senegal W 3 1 1 1 1:2 4
4 Kenya W 3 0 0 3 0:7 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations Women (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ivory Coast W 3 2 1 0 8:4 7
2 South Africa W 3 1 1 1 4:4 4
3 Burkina Faso W 3 1 0 2 3:6 3
4 Tanzania W 3 1 0 2 4:5 3
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations Women (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Malawi W 3 2 0 1 7:5 6
2 Nigeria W 3 2 0 1 9:5 6
3 Zambia W 3 2 0 1 8:2 6
4 Egypt W 3 0 0 3 3:15 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations Women (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cameroon W 3 2 1 0 4:2 7
2 Ghana W 3 1 1 1 3:2 4
3 Mali W 3 1 1 1 5:5 4
4 Cape Verde W 3 0 1 2 3:6 1
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations Women (Play Offs)