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Senegal W vs Liberia W

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Friendly International Women 2025 Stade Cheikha Ould Boidiya
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Match Events

69' Event
Diallo H.
(Penalty)
74'
Morris M.
74'
Morris M.

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International Women 2025 game between Senegal W and Liberia W finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Senegal W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Senegal W
33%
Draws
40%
Liberia W
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Liberia W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Liberia W haven't matched Senegal W's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Liberia W's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Senegal W have won 3 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Senegal W Clean Sheet 20%
Liberia W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Senegal W Liberia W
Matches Played 32 12
Wins 16 4
Draws 6 3
Losses 10 5
Goals Scored 2.13 0.75
Goals Conceded 0.75 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 29, 2025 Friendly International Women
Senegal W vs Liberia W
1:0
Oct 26, 2021 Africa Cup of Nations Women
Senegal W vs Liberia W
6:0
Oct 20, 2021 Africa Cup of Nations Women
Liberia W vs Senegal W
1:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Senegal W 28 / 100
Liberia W 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Senegal W Liberia W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LIB Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Liberia W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 92% of 12 matches.

H2H data points to 3.33 goals as a typical output.

Senegal W found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

Senegal W went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Senegal W VS Liberia W
2.13 Goals Scored 0.75
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%