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Senegal W vs Morocco W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Africa Africa

Africa Cup of Nations Women Stade Prince Moulay Hassan, Rabat
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Match Events

52'
Fall A.
54'
Sow M.
59'
Mssoudy S.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-0. This leg finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Senegal W
15%
Draws
48%
Morocco W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Morocco W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Senegal W haven't matched Morocco W's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Senegal W a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Morocco W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Morocco W here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 37%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Senegal W Clean Sheet 19%
Morocco W Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Senegal W Morocco W
Matches Played 29 33
Wins 14 21
Draws 5 6
Losses 10 6
Goals Scored 1.1 2.21
Goals Conceded 0.97 0.85
Expected Goals (xG) 0.38 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 3, 2026 Africa Cup of Nations Women
Senegal W vs Morocco W
0:0
Jul 12, 2025 Africa Cup of Nations Women
Morocco W vs Senegal W
1:0
Oct 29, 2024 Friendly International Women
Morocco W vs Senegal W
7:0
Jul 8, 2022 Africa Cup of Nations Women
Morocco W vs Senegal W
1:0
Nov 30, 2021 Friendly International Women
Morocco W vs Senegal W
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Senegal W 36 / 100
Morocco W 35 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Senegal W Morocco W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Senegal W scored in 63% of their last 27 games.

Morocco W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 61% of 31 matches.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Senegal W stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Senegal W VS Morocco W
0.38 Goals Scored 1.75
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.38
25% Over 1.5 50%
13% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Senegal W

(Home)
08 Oct
Tunisia W
0 : 1
Senegal W
03 Aug
Senegal W
0 : 0
Morocco W
30 Jul
Senegal W
1 : 0
Kenya W
26 Jul
Algeria W
2 : 0
Senegal W
11 Jul
Egypt W
1 : 0
Senegal W
Page 1 of 6

Morocco W

(Away)
13 Oct
Morocco W
:
Congo W
09 Oct
Morocco W
3 : 1
Uzbekistan W
09 Oct
Congo W
:
Morocco W
15 Aug
Morocco W
1 : 2
Algeria W
12 Aug
Morocco W
0 : 1
Cameroon W
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Morocco W 3 2 1 0 5:0 7
2 Algeria W 3 2 0 1 4:1 6
3 Senegal W 3 1 1 1 1:2 4
4 Kenya W 3 0 0 3 0:7 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations Women (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ivory Coast W 3 2 1 0 8:4 7
2 South Africa W 3 1 1 1 4:4 4
3 Burkina Faso W 3 1 0 2 3:6 3
4 Tanzania W 3 1 0 2 4:5 3
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations Women (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Malawi W 3 2 0 1 7:5 6
2 Nigeria W 3 2 0 1 9:5 6
3 Zambia W 3 2 0 1 8:2 6
4 Egypt W 3 0 0 3 3:15 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations Women (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cameroon W 3 2 1 0 4:2 7
2 Ghana W 3 1 1 1 3:2 4
3 Mali W 3 1 1 1 5:5 4
4 Cape Verde W 3 0 1 2 3:6 1
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations Women (Play Offs)