Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Senegal W vs Sierra Leone W

World World

Friendly International Women 2025 Stade Cheikha Ould Boidiya, Nouakchott
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Jumu M.
33'
Sao Mohai W.
36'
Koroma J.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Friendly International Women 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Senegal W
20%
Draws
47%
Sierra Leone W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sierra Leone W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Sierra Leone W haven't matched Senegal W's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Senegal W Clean Sheet 20%
Sierra Leone W Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Senegal W Sierra Leone W
Matches Played 34 18
Wins 17 3
Draws 6 3
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 1.26 0.72
Goals Conceded 1 1.44
Expected Goals (xG) 0.85 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 31, 2025 Friendly International Women
Sierra Leone W vs Senegal W
1:0
May 26, 2025 Friendly International Women
Senegal W vs Sierra Leone W
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Senegal W Compare

Top Goalscorer Malado H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.65
Avg xA / game 0.42

Sierra Leone W Compare

Top Goalscorer Jumu M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Senegal W 36 / 100
Sierra Leone W 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Senegal W Sierra Leone W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sierra Leone W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sierra Leone W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 14 matches.

Senegal W found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (32 games).

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Senegal W remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Senegal W VS Sierra Leone W
1.38 Goals Scored 1
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.33
50% Over 1.5 33%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Senegal W

(Home)
03 Aug
Senegal W
0 : 0
Morocco W
30 Jul
Senegal W
1 : 0
Kenya W
26 Jul
Algeria W
2 : 0
Senegal W
11 Jul
Egypt W
1 : 0
Senegal W
08 Jul
Egypt W
0 : 1
Senegal W
Page 1 of 7

Sierra Leone W

(Away)
31 May
Sierra Leone W
1 : 0
Senegal W
29 May
Mali W
0 : 1
Sierra Leone W
26 May
Senegal W
1 : 1
Sierra Leone W
24 May
Sierra Leone W
3 : 1
Guinea W
22 May
Sierra Leone W
0 : 3
Gambia W
Page 1 of 4