Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Seongnam vs Busan

South Korea South Korea

K League 2 Tancheon Stadium, Seongnam
Our Tip

Match Events

14'
Lee Dong-Su
39' Event
Yang Tae-yang
Assist: Lee Jun-Sang
46'
Sub
Gabriel Honorio In: Gutemberg
Out: Gabriel Honorio

AI Match Summary

Seongnam in this K League 2 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Seongnam.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Seongnam
30%
Draws
23%
Busan
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Seongnam

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Busan have won more games recently than Seongnam.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Seongnam taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Seongnam Clean Sheet 68%
Busan Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Seongnam Busan
Matches Played 32 31
Wins 12 14
Draws 11 5
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 1.16 1.55
Goals Conceded 1.06 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2026 K League 2
Seongnam vs Busan
1:0
Mar 2, 2026 K League 2
Busan vs Seongnam
1:1
Nov 23, 2025 K League 2
Seongnam vs Busan
2:1
Jul 12, 2025 K League 2
Busan vs Seongnam
0:0
May 24, 2025 K League 2
Seongnam vs Busan
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Seongnam Compare

Top Goalscorer Yang Tae-yang
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Busan Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Seongnam 50 / 100
Busan 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Seongnam Busan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Seongnam Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Seongnam found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (32 games).

Busan let in goals in 74% of their last 31 matches.

Seongnam went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Away concern: Busan has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Seongnam VS Busan
1.25 Goals Scored 0.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Seongnam

(Home)
20 Sept
Seongnam
2 : 2
Hwaseong
13 Sept
Gyeongnam
1 : 0
Seongnam
06 Sept
Gimpo FC
1 : 2
Seongnam
29 Aug
Seongnam
1 : 1
Seoul E-Land
22 Aug
Ansan Greeners
1 : 2
Seongnam
Page 1 of 7

Busan

(Away)
19 Sept
Gimpo FC
1 : 0
Busan
13 Sept
Busan
2 : 0
Gimhae
05 Sept
Busan
0 : 1
Ansan Greeners
30 Aug
Suwon FC
2 : 1
Busan
22 Aug
Daegu
1 : 1
Busan
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Suwon Bluewings 25 16 5 4 39:20 53
2 Suwon FC 25 13 9 3 50:29 48
3 Seoul E-Land 26 14 6 6 45:30 48
4 Daegu 26 13 7 6 48:35 46
5 Hwaseong 26 12 8 6 41:27 44
6 Busan 26 12 5 9 41:34 41
7 Gimpo FC 25 8 11 6 31:30 35
8 Chungnam Asan 25 9 7 9 34:31 34
9 Gyeongnam 25 8 10 7 31:30 34
10 Seongnam 25 7 10 8 28:30 31
11 Cheongju 26 5 14 7 31:41 29
12 Paju Frontier 25 8 5 12 24:28 29
13 Yongin FC 25 5 12 8 31:35 27
14 Cheonan City 26 4 11 11 30:37 23
15 Ansan Greeners 26 6 4 16 27:49 22
16 Jeonnam 25 4 9 12 28:43 21
17 Gimhae 25 2 7 16 19:49 13
Promotion - K League 1 2027 (Main)
Promotion - K League 2 (Play Offs)
Relegation - K League 2 (Relegation)