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Seoul vs Ulsan Hyundai

South Korea South Korea

K League 1 Seoul World Cup Stadium, Seoul
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Erick Farias
Assist: Lee Dong-Gyeong
13' Event
Lee Dong-Gyeong
Assist: Erick Farias
33'
Sub
Lee Seung-Mo In: Moon Seon-Min
Out: Lee Seung-Mo

AI Match Summary

Ulsan Hyundai in this K League 1 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ulsan Hyundai.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Seoul
6%
Draws
4%
Ulsan Hyundai
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Seoul

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Seoul lately — more wins on the board than Ulsan Hyundai.
  • Model gives Seoul a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular K League 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Seoul Clean Sheet 20%
Ulsan Hyundai Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Seoul Ulsan Hyundai
Matches Played 29 33
Wins 14 11
Draws 7 8
Losses 8 14
Goals Scored 1.38 1
Goals Conceded 0.63 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 26, 2026 K League 1
Seoul vs Ulsan Hyundai
1:3
Apr 15, 2026 K League 1
Ulsan Hyundai vs Seoul
1:4
Aug 24, 2025 K League 1
Seoul vs Ulsan Hyundai
3:2
Jul 20, 2025 K League 1
Seoul vs Ulsan Hyundai
1:0
Apr 5, 2025 K League 1
Ulsan Hyundai vs Seoul
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Seoul Compare

Top Goalscorer Jeong Seung-Won
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Ulsan Hyundai Compare

Top Goalscorer Erick Farias
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lee Dong-Gyeong
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Seoul 85 / 100
Ulsan Hyundai 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Seoul Ulsan Hyundai

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SEO Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 6:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Seoul stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Seoul scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Ulsan Hyundai has conceded goals in 79% of their last 33 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Seoul VS Ulsan Hyundai
1.38 Goals Scored 1
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Seoul

(Home)
22 Jul
Seoul
3 : 1
Pohang
19 Jul
Bucheon FC 1995
1 : 3
Seoul
12 Jul
Seoul
0 : 0
Gangwon
05 Jul
Seoul
1 : 0
Incheon
16 May
Daejeon
1 : 2
Seoul
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Ulsan Hyundai

(Away)
21 Jul
Ulsan Hyundai
1 : 2
Incheon
18 Jul
Daejeon
2 : 2
Ulsan Hyundai
11 Jul
Ulsan Hyundai
1 : 3
Jeonbuk
05 Jul
Gwangju FC
1 : 1
Ulsan Hyundai
17 May
Gangwon
2 : 0
Ulsan Hyundai
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Seoul19133334:1442
2Jeonbuk2096527:1633
3Gangwon1988324:1232
4Ulsan Hyundai1984727:2828
5Pohang2084820:2128
6Anyang1969426:2227
7Incheon1983824:2027
8Jeju SK1966717:1924
9Daejeon2048823:2320
10Gimcheon Sangmu20311621:2820
11Bucheon FC 19951947817:2419
12Gwangju FC19171110:4310
Promotion - K League 1 (Championship Group)
Relegation - K League 1 (Relegation Group)