Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sepahan vs Fajr Sepasi

Iran Iran

Persian Gulf Pro League Naghsh-e-Jahan Stadium, Isfahan
Our Tip

Match Events

19'
Crivelli E.
27'
Daneshgar M.
31'
Jafarikia S.

AI Match Summary

Sepahan in this Persian Gulf Pro League matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sepahan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Sepahan
39%
Draws
31%
Fajr Sepasi
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Sepahan lately — more wins on the board than Fajr Sepasi.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Sepahan here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Sepahan Clean Sheet 68%
Fajr Sepasi Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sepahan Fajr Sepasi
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 14 9
Draws 8 7
Losses 8 12
Goals Scored 1 0.88
Goals Conceded 1 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 5, 2025 Persian Gulf Pro League
Sepahan vs Fajr Sepasi
2:0
Mar 6, 2022 Persian Gulf Pro League
Sepahan vs Fajr Sepasi
2:0
Nov 24, 2021 Persian Gulf Pro League
Fajr Sepasi vs Sepahan
0:2
Dec 24, 2013 Persian Gulf Pro League
Sepahan vs Fajr Sepasi
3:0
Aug 16, 2013 Persian Gulf Pro League
Fajr Sepasi vs Sepahan
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sepahan Compare

Top Goalscorer Crivelli E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Askari M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Fajr Sepasi Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sepahan 41 / 100
Fajr Sepasi 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sepahan Fajr Sepasi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SEP Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sepahan scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Fajr Sepasi conceded in 71% of 28 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Sepahan went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sepahan VS Fajr Sepasi
1 Goals Scored 0.88
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Sepahan

(Home)
27 Feb
Paykan
0 : 0
Sepahan
23 Feb
Sepahan
3 : 1
Esteghlal Khuzestan
18 Feb
Al Ahli
1 : 0
Sepahan
11 Feb
Sepahan
2 : 2
Al Ahli
06 Feb
Sepahan
1 : 0
Kheybar Khorramabad
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Fajr Sepasi

(Away)
27 Feb
Esteghlal TEH
2 : 1
Fajr Sepasi
20 Feb
Fajr Sepasi
1 : 0
Shams Azar Qazvin
13 Feb
Esteghlal Khuzestan
1 : 0
Fajr Sepasi
06 Feb
Fajr Sepasi
2 : 1
Tractor
02 Feb
Zob Ahan
2 : 1
Fajr Sepasi
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Esteghlal TEH22118329:1641
2Tractor22109330:1239
3Sepahan22116524:1339
4Gol Gohar23106724:2436
5Chadormalu2298527:1935
6Persepolis2297623:1934
7Foolad22710521:1631
8Fajr Sepasi2386925:2730
9Kheybar Khorramabad2378822:2429
10Malavan2278713:2129
11Esteghlal Khuzestan2267916:2325
12Paykan2359915:2124
13Shams Azar Qazvin23313715:1922
14Aluminium Arak22571014:2122
15Zob Ahan21310812:1919
16Mes Rafsanjan22361313:2915
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League (Qualification)
Relegation - Persian Gulf Pro League (Relegation)