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Sepahan vs Mes Shahr Babak - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Iran Iran

Persian Gulf Pro League Naghsh-e-Jahan Stadium, Isfahan
Sun, Oct 25, 2026
VS
01:15 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sepahan host Mes Shahr Babak in the Persian Gulf Pro League. Don't expect fireworks — both sides lean defensive. Recent numbers: Sepahan at 1.28 goals for, 0.72 against; Mes Shahr Babak at 1.17 for, 0.76 against. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. Model xG sits at 1.25 vs 0.69, favoring Sepahan. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Sepahan
35%
Draws
15%
Mes Shahr Babak
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Sepahan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Sepahan carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on Sepahan taking it.
  • Regular Persian Gulf Pro League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.4%
Sepahan Clean Sheet 20%
Mes Shahr Babak Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sepahan Mes Shahr Babak
Matches Played 25 29
Wins 13 12
Draws 5 11
Losses 7 6
Goals Scored 1.28 1.17
Goals Conceded 0.72 0.76
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sepahan 85 / 100
Mes Shahr Babak 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sepahan Mes Shahr Babak

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sepahan Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sepahan scored in 72% of their last 25 games.

Solid form: Sepahan remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Mes Shahr Babak's defensive record shows goals conceded in 48% of 29 matches.

Mes Shahr Babak's recent record shows 2 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Sepahan VS Mes Shahr Babak
1.38 Goals Scored 0.75
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Sepahan

(Home)
08 Oct
Sepahan
6 : 1
Fajr Sepasi
06 Sept
Sepahan
1 : 0
Esteghlal Khuzestan
02 Sept
Sanat Naft
0 : 0
Sepahan
28 Aug
Sepahan
2 : 0
Gol Gohar
23 Aug
Esteghlal TEH
2 : 0
Sepahan
Page 1 of 5

Mes Shahr Babak

(Away)
08 Oct
Foolad
2 : 1
Mes Shahr Babak
13 Sept
Mes Shahr Babak
1 : 1
Mazandaran
07 Sept
Mes Shahr Babak
1 : 2
Malavan
03 Sept
Fajr Sepasi
1 : 1
Mes Shahr Babak
29 Aug
Mes Shahr Babak
0 : 0
Sanat Naft
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tractor 8 5 2 1 9:2 17
2 Persepolis 7 5 1 1 15:4 16
3 Esteghlal TEH 8 4 4 0 10:2 16
4 Sepahan 7 4 1 2 11:5 13
5 Aluminium Arak 7 3 4 0 9:4 13
6 Gol Gohar 8 4 1 3 10:7 13
7 Foolad 7 3 3 1 7:4 12
8 Paykan 8 2 3 3 6:7 9
9 Mazandaran 8 2 3 3 5:7 9
10 Chadormalu 8 2 3 3 6:11 9
11 Malavan 7 2 2 3 6:9 8
12 Kheybar Khorramabad 7 1 4 2 10:10 7
13 Zob Ahan 7 1 4 2 4:6 7
14 Fajr Sepasi 7 1 4 2 4:9 7
15 Shams Azar Qazvin 8 1 3 4 7:10 6
16 Esteghlal Khuzestan 8 1 3 4 4:12 6
17 Mes Shahr Babak 8 0 5 3 6:12 5
18 Sanat Naft 8 0 4 4 3:11 4
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Azadegan League 2027/2028 (Main)