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Sepsi vs Poli Iasi Prediction & H2H Stats

Romania Romania

Liga 2 2025/2026 Stadionul Sepsi, Sfantu Gheorghe
Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
Heras N.
54'
Batzula H.
57'
Sub
Vidakovic V. In: Tiehi J.
Out: Vidakovic V.

AI Match Summary

The Liga 2 2025/2026 game between Sepsi and Poli Iasi finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sepsi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Sepsi
20%
Draws
40%
Poli Iasi
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Sepsi have managed 1.13 goals a game lately — Poli Iasi are scoring more at 1.37.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Sepsi have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 10%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Sepsi Clean Sheet 25%
Poli Iasi Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sepsi Poli Iasi
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 13
Draws 11 5
Losses 6 12
Goals Scored 1.13 1.37
Goals Conceded 0.87 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 1, 2025 Liga 2
Sepsi vs Poli Iasi
1:0
May 2, 2025 Superliga
Poli Iasi vs Sepsi
0:0
Nov 9, 2024 Superliga
Poli Iasi vs Sepsi
1:2
Jul 13, 2024 Superliga
Sepsi vs Poli Iasi
1:0
Jan 19, 2024 Superliga
Sepsi vs Poli Iasi
6:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sepsi Compare

Top Goalscorer Heras N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Poli Iasi Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sepsi 33 / 100
Poli Iasi 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sepsi Poli Iasi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Poli Iasi Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Sepsi scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Poli Iasi conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Difficult form: Poli Iasi registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sepsi VS Poli Iasi
0.88 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 0%
0% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Sepsi

(Home)
26 Sept
Sepsi
1 : 1
Gloria Bistrita
18 Sept
FC UTA Arad
1 : 0
Sepsi
12 Sept
Sepsi
3 : 1
CFR Cluj
05 Sept
FC Botosani
5 : 0
Sepsi
01 Sept
Sepsi
1 : 3
CFR Cluj
Page 1 of 6

Poli Iasi

(Away)
09 May
CSM Slatina
1 : 0
Poli Iasi
02 May
Poli Iasi
2 : 2
Gloria Bistrita
25 Apr
Poli Iasi
1 : 0
Campulung
18 Apr
Metalul Buzau
2 : 0
Poli Iasi
10 Apr
Poli Iasi
0 : 1
FC ASA Tg. Mures
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Corvinul Hunedoara 21 16 5 0 37:13 53
2 Sepsi 21 13 5 3 34:18 44
3 Chindia Targoviste 21 12 3 6 38:20 39
4 FC Bihor 21 12 3 6 40:24 39
5 Voluntari 21 11 6 4 30:16 39
6 Steaua Bucuresti 21 12 3 6 36:27 39
7 FC ASA Tg. Mures 21 11 4 6 37:22 37
8 CSM Resita 21 10 3 8 35:29 33
9 FC Bacau 21 9 6 6 28:26 33
10 Metalul Buzau 21 10 2 9 33:26 32
11 Poli Iasi 21 9 4 8 25:22 31
12 Afumati 21 9 3 9 30:26 30
13 Concordia 21 8 3 10 29:24 27
14 Gloria Bistrita 21 7 5 9 29:29 26
15 CSM Slatina 21 7 5 9 27:28 26
16 CSC Dumbravita 21 7 4 10 25:33 25
17 Selimbar 21 5 5 11 27:32 20
18 Ceahlaul 21 5 3 13 20:43 18
19 CS Din. Bucuresti 21 3 7 11 19:35 16
20 Tunari 21 3 7 11 19:36 16
21 CSM Satu Mare 21 4 2 15 19:45 14
22 Campulung 21 2 4 15 10:53 10
Promotion - Liga 2 2025/2026 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Liga 2 2025/2026 (Relegation Group)