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Stadium Background

Sepsi vs Steaua Bucuresti

Romania Romania

Liga 2 Stadionul Sepsi
Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
Batzula H. In: Techeres A.
Out: Batzula H.
46'
Sub
Silaghi R. In: de Kamps J.
Out: Silaghi R.
46'
Sub
Vianna F. In: Davordzie C.
Out: Vianna F.

AI Match Summary

The Liga 2 game between Sepsi and Steaua Bucuresti finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sepsi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Sepsi
28%
Draws
22%
Steaua Bucuresti
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Sepsi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sepsi come out ahead of Steaua Bucuresti on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Sepsi's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Sepsi here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Sepsi Clean Sheet 68%
Steaua Bucuresti Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sepsi Steaua Bucuresti
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 16 11
Draws 8 5
Losses 5 12
Goals Scored 1.38 1.5
Goals Conceded 0.88 2.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 7, 2026 Liga 2
Steaua Bucuresti vs Sepsi
0:2
Apr 11, 2026 Liga 2
Sepsi vs Steaua Bucuresti
2:0
Sep 30, 2025 Liga 2
Steaua Bucuresti vs Sepsi
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sepsi Compare

Top Goalscorer Mawa M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Davordzie C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Steaua Bucuresti Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sepsi 59 / 100
Steaua Bucuresti 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sepsi Steaua Bucuresti

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SEP Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sepsi scored in 86% of their last 29 games.

Steaua Bucuresti's defensive record shows goals conceded in 89% of 28 matches.

H2H data points to 2.33 goals as a typical output.

Sepsi went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sepsi VS Steaua Bucuresti
1.38 Goals Scored 1.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 2.25
75% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Corvinul Hunedoara1051413:869
2Sepsi1062215:864
3Voluntari1081121:864
4FC Bihor1032516:2150
5Steaua Bucuresti1031613:1949
6Chindia Targoviste101187:2143